Buffalo Bills at NY Jets Free Sports Picks

October 15, 2009

John Ryan cashed another 10* MNF winner with Miami as they truly discovered the holes in the Jets defense. It wasn’t just the Wild Cat either that took its’ toll on that defense that gave up THREE lead changing touchdowns in the fourth quarter. Short week for preparation and a bit of hardship for this Jets team may offer the best chance for the Bills to acquire some much needed respect with a solid display in New Jersey.

The Dolphins did a solid job on nose tackle Kris Jenkins. He requires double teams on most every rushing play, but what the Dolphins did was to use zone blocking to get him going side to side. This gave the backs cut back lanes or plainly solid holes in the middle of the line. The Bills have been terrible in protecting their QB on third and long spots. No question they will see what the Dolphins did to get the running game in high gear and that will keep them out of third and long situations. This will also allow Edwards extra time by using play action and those are the spots that can get Owens in man coverage and high percentage pass chances.

The Jets are averaging 4.1 rushing yards per carry, but is not a true reflection of the running game. They had 38 yards rushing on 2 fake punts against the Dolphins and they have practiced a sizeable array of gadget and reverse plays. They are NOT a superior running team between the tackles. With injuries to the Bills LB starters, the Jets will surely try to run the ball between the tackles, but I do not see it working and the Buffalo defensive perimeter has done an excellent job remaining disciplined in pursuit.

Mix the fundamental research with an Ai Simulator grading of 3 stars and you have the potential for a very tight game. AiS shows a 70% probability that Buffalo will lose this game by 10 or fewer points. Here is a validating system that has gone 109-59 for 65% winners since 1983. That’s a 26-year track record of consistent winners broken out by a 47-27 10-year mark and a 26-15 5 year mark. Play on road teams that are bad teams being outscored by opponents by 7 or more points/game after a loss by 6 or less points. Yes, this is new coaching, but this is the first 2 game losing streak for coach Ryan. Note that the Jets are just 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. Take Buffalo.

John Ryan has now hit 71% ATS of his college football picks over the past 52 premium releases. I am hitting 60% winners in the NHL and all of the predictions have been dogs so far this season. Plus, he won his 15* NLDS Game of the Year play. He went 15-5 in the 2008 MLB playoffs so his best chances are still yet to come.

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Written by Jack Jones · Filed Under NFL 

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