Free College Football Picks 11/22/08

November 22, 2008

Saturday’s free college football picks:

Info Plays Saturday, November 22nd Free Play:

3* on Michigan +21

Reasons why Michigan covers the spread Saturday:

1.) Everyone is counting them out, and this is their season. It has been a tough year for head coach Rich Rodriquez in his first year, but the Wolverines have one final chance to make their season with a win over their biggest rivals in Ohio State. Michigan will be ready to play Saturday, and Ohio State will be shocked by the effort they get from the Wolverines. Just as Minnesota was stunned when Michigan went into their house and came out with a 29-6 win a couple weeks back.

2.) Michigan will have a few tricks up their sleeves. Rodriquez has saved some plays for the Buckeyes that they won’t be expecting. Michigan knows they cannot beat the Buckeyes by playing conventional, so we guarantee they have something in store. But when they do have to play conventional, Michigan has the running game and the run defense that matches up well with Ohio State. Michigan has rushed for 177, 232, and 181 yards in their last 3 games overall for nearly a 200 RYPG average. The Michigan defense held Minnesota to just 83 rushing yards on 28 attempts and then held Northwestern to just 59 rushing yards on 37 attempts in their last two games. So the Wolverines have proven the can stop the run, and Ohio State relies heavily on their running game. The Buckeyes passed for just 49 yards against Illinois last game. Ohio State cannot get away with exclusively trying to run the ball against Michigan, and they will find that out early.

3.) System Play. Play On – Underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (MICHIGAN) – after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games. This is a 50-20 ATS System hitting 71.4% over the last 5 seasons. Ohio State has been blowing teams out, while Michigan has been struggling. But this is a rivalry game where anything can happen, and the numbers show that Michigan can compete with Ohio State courtesy of a solid running game and a stout run defense. Michigan will pull out all the tricks Saturday that they have been saving up for this one game. Bet Michigan on the road.

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Maryland +1.5
The series have been dominated by the home team with the home side winning each of the last 5 meetings. Maryland has been a very strong home team this season with a 6-0 SU and a 4-1-1 ATS mark. Maryland also has some nice momentum on its side following a big upset win over UNC. Maryland is 15-5 ATS as a home underdog of 7 points or less since 1992 while FSU is 4-18 ATS in road games after playing 3 straight conference games since 1992. Look for the Terps to stay unbeaten at home.

Related posts:

  1. 2006 NotreDame MichiganSt
  2. 2006 PennSt OhioSt
  3. Notre Dame at Michigan Predictions
  4. Ohio State at Indiana Football Picks
  5. Dennis Macklin’s Ohio State/Penn State Free Pick 11/4

Written by Jack Jones · Filed Under College Football 

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