Free NFL Picks Sunday 11/23/08

November 23, 2008

Black Widow NFL Free Pick Sunday:

1* on Denver Broncos -9

Lay the points here with comfort in knowing the Broncos already beat the Raiders by a final of 41-14 in their opening game of the season. There’s no reason the Broncos shouldn’t be able to put a similar beat down on the Raiders at home Sunday. Denver is fighting to win the AFC West, and they are in good position to do so as long as they take care of business at home Sunday. The Raiders have lost 4 straight, losing by 11 or more points in 3 of the 4. Oakland is scoring a mere 14.8 points per game on the road, while Denver puts up 24.6 per game at home. Oakland does not fare well against teams that score a lot of points and put the ball in the air often. The Raiders’ two worst losses have come to the Broncos and the Saints, two teams that throw the ball a ton. This Oakland secondary is terrible, and the Raiders don’t have the kind of offense that can compete in a shootout. Oakland is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after scoring 17 points or less in 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Oakland is 10-30 ATS (-23.0 Units) after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games since 1992. The Broncos simply have too much offense for Oakland to hang close. Take Denver and lay the points.

Rocky Atkinson

FREE PLAY SUNDAY (57% lifetime…Past 13 years)

Washington @ Seattle 4:15 PM EST
Play On: 1* Seattle +3 1/2

Washington is 3-12 ATS since 1992 as a road favorite of 3 points or less. Washington is 2-10 ATS last 3 years when playing against a team with a losing record and 1-5 ATS last 3 years when playing against a team with a losing record in the 2nd half of the season. Seattle is 7-1 ATS last 3 years after 2 or more consecutive losses. Redskins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss. Redskins are 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Redskins are 3-11-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Redskins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on field turf. Redskins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Redskins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game. Redskins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November. Redskins are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Seahawks are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Seahawks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss. Seahawks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss. Home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. We’ll recommend a small play on Seattle today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

Written by Jack Jones · Filed Under NFL

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Free NFL Picks Sunday 11/23/08

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