Free Sports Picks for 11/8/2008

November 8, 2008

Sports Betting at the Sportsbook

Welcome to the weekend everyone!  Today we’re looking at two of our top college football handicapper’s free picks of the day!  There’s so much going on in college football today and so many big games to choose from, you’re going to want to get behind a handicapper that has consistently made money all season long.

First up we’ve got Jeff Alexander.  Mr. Alexander is on an 8-game winning streak on his 4* Major and 5* Wiseguy plays in college football!  Today he has a 5* Wiseguy play on the biggest Mismatch of the year!  Jeff also has a free play on the Wake Forest/Virginia game today and here is what he had to say:

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Wake Forest -3.5
Miami put an end to Virginia’s 4-game winning streak last week and that opens the door for Wake Forest to take the Cavs down again at home this week. Virginia edged out Wake by one point last season and the Demon Deacons will be out for revenge. Virginia has not played well on the road this season, scoring only 12.3 ppg while giving up 31. Virginia is just 5-16 ATS in road games after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992 and 10-23 ATS in road games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better since 1992. Lay the points with Wake Forest at home.

Next we’ll see what Matt Fargo has on tap for today.  Fargo is hitting an amazing 56-32 clip in College Football!  He’s also on Wake Forest, but has a slightly different take:

The ACC remains completely up for grabs as both the Atlantic and Coastal Divisions are still wide open. In the Atlantic, surprising Maryland has the lead but it is by only a half-game over Wake Forest and Florida St. The Demon Deacons lost to the Terrapins so they are at the wrong end of the tiebreaker meaning they need to finish with a better record to make a trip to the ACC Championship. Wake Forest put up a couple lame efforts on the road and an overtime home win over Duke should provide some momentum.
Virginia is also another surprise in the ACC as it is a half-game behind Georgia Tech in the Coastal but it does own the tiebreaker as it has already defeated the Yellow Jackets. The Cavaliers thought they had their game won against Miami on Saturday but the hurricanes scored a late touchdown in regulation and then were able to recover a fumble in overtime to secure the win. Virginia was outgained by 137 yards in that game and now heads out on the road for just its second road game in six weeks.
Wake Forest has a big advantage at the line of scrimmage and that is going to be the difference here. The Virginia rushing offense started extremely slow, picked up some steam and has started struggling again. The Cavaliers are 107th in the country in rushing offense, averaging just 103.2 ypg. Over their last three games, they are averaging only 85 ypg which happens to be just four yards less per game than they have averaged on the road this season.
The Demon Deacons rushing defense has been strong this season, allowing 125.4 ypg which is good for 47th in the nation. They have allowed more than 145 yards only once this season and that came against Navy which is no surprise. Take that pout and the average drops to 101.6 ypg. On the season, Wake Forest is allowing 3.6 ypc which is a truer indication of the success it has had. The total defense is ranked 34 in the nation so there is not a lot of room for Virginia to succeed.
Wake Forest has some success on offense running the ball but it has been far from what was expected. The Deacons have gone against some excellent rushing defenses this season and Virginia will not be included in that category. The Cavaliers are 76th in the nation in rushing defense and the average balloons on the road as they are allowing 207.3 ypg on 4.7 ypc in their three road games. Wake Forest is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games following an ATS loss so we can expect another big bounceback here. 3* Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Fargo is coming off a spectacular week in college football including his NCAA Game of the Year that took place in the ACC with Miami! NCAAF is 54-31-8 ATS (63.5%) YTD! He shifts his sights to the Big East this week with his GAME OF THE YEAR as it is his STRONGEST report in the Big East this year so you do not want to miss out on it! We keep the spectacular season going!

GOOD LUCK SATURDAY!!!

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