Jack Jones

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Jan 31, 2015
Los Angeles Clippers vs. San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs
-5-107
  at  5DIMES
Lost
$107.0
Play Type: Top Premium

20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on San Antonio Spurs -5

The San Antonio Spurs are finally healthy and playing like the defending champions that they are as a result.  The Spurs have won seven of their last eight games overall with all seven of those victories coming by 5 points or more, including five by 9 or more.

The defending champs certainly come into this game well-rested and ready to go.  They have had two days' rest since last playing Charlotte on Wednesday.  This will also be just their 2nd game in the past 6 days.

The same cannot be said for the Clippers, who are a very tired team right now.  They will be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days tonight.  They lost a 103-108 heartbreaker to the Pelicans last night despite being 8-point favorites as they started to show signs of wearing down.  They have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three.  They only beat the Nuggets by 4 as 14-point favorites and the Jazz by 5 as 6.5-point favorites.

San Antonio simply has Los Angeles' number.  The Spurs have won four straight and six of their last seven meetings with the Clippers.  Three of those victories came by double-digits as well.  They beat the Clippers 125-118 as 1-point home favorites in their last meeting despite playing without Khawi Leonard, who is back healthy now.

The Clippers are 12-25 ATS in their last 37 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.  Los Angeles is 0-6 ATS in its last six games when playing on 0 days' rest.  The Clippers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games.  The Spurs are 5-0 ATS in their last five Saturday games.  Los Angeles is 0-4 ATS in the last four meetings, and 4-9 ATS in its last 13 visits to San Antonio.  Bet the Spurs Saturday.

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Jan 31, 2015
Phoenix Suns vs. Golden State Warriors
Phoenix Suns
+9½-105
  at  5DIMES
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

15* Suns/Warriors NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Phoenix +9.5

Due to their torrid start to the season that has them sitting in first place in the Western Conference with a 36-8 record, the Golden State Warriors are way overvalued right now.  I have faded them with success here recently, and will continue to do so tonight.

The Warriors are 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall.  They only beat the Celtics 114-111 as 18-point home favorites, lost to the Bulls 111-113 as 11-point home favorites, and then lost to the Jazz 100-110 last night as 10-point road favorites.

The Phoenix Suns continue to be one of the most underrated teams in the league.  They have won 16 of their last 22 games overall  to get to 28-20 on the season and in 8th place in the Western Conference.  The Suns also played last night in a 99-93 win over the Bulls.  However, I don't mind backing this team on the second of a back-to-back because they have one of the deepest benches in the NBA.

The Suns have played the Warriors extremely tough in recent meetings.  They are 3-3 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings with Golden State.  Two of their three losses have come by 6 points or fewer, including a 113-107 loss as 10-point underdogs in their last trip to Golden State.  The Suns won their only meeting with the Warriors this season 107-95 at home.

Plays on underdogs (PHOENIX) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 110 points or more three straight games are 23-5 (82.1%) ATS since 1996.  The Suns are 35-16-2 ATS in their last 53 games following a ATS loss.  Phoenix is 27-13 ATS when playing its 3rd game in 4 days over the last two seasons.  Roll with the Suns Saturday.

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Jan 31, 2015
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Atlanta Hawks
Philadelphia 76ers
+17-105
  at  PINNACLE
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

15* NBA Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Philadelphia 76ers +17

The Atlanta Hawks could not possibly be more overvalued than they are right now.  They are currently riding an 18-game winning streak that saw them cover an NBA-record 15 straight games to start the streak.

Finally, the odds have caught up to them.  The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three games during the streak.  They only won by 12 as 17.5-point favorites over Minnesota, by 11 as 14-point favorites over Brooklyn, and by 6 as 6.5-point favorites over Portland.

Now, the Hawks will find it extremely difficult to get motivated to play the lowly Philadelphia 76ers tonight.  That's especially the case considering they recently beat the 76ers by 18 during this winning streak.  I look for them to come out flat off that big win over Portland last night, and to not bring the kind of effort it will take to put away Philadelphia by 17-plus points.

The 76ers come into this game playing some of their best basketball of the season.  They have won each of their last two games outright as underdogs.  They beat the Pistons 89-69 as 8-point home underdogs on January 28th, and then came back with a 103-94 upset win over the Timberwolves as 4-point dogs last night.

Philadelphia hasn't lost by more than 16 points in Atlanta in any of the last eight meetings.  It has won three games outright as underdogs in those eight meetings.  The five losses came by 16, 8, 10, 11 and 5 points.  I look for the 76ers to hang tough again Saturday.

Plays on road underdogs of 10 or more points (PHILADELPHIA) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, on Saturday games are 44-20 (68.8%) ATS since 1996.  Atlanta is 24-42 ATS in its last 66 home games when playing against a team with a winning percentage of 25% or worse.  The 76ers are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games playing on 0 days rest.  The road team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.  Take the 76ers Saturday.

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Jan 31, 2015
Toronto Raptors vs. Washington Wizards
Washington Wizards
-3-110
  at  BMAKER
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Washington Wizards -3

This is a very tough spot for the Toronto Raptors and a great one for the Washington Wizards.  I'll lay the small number on the home favorite Wizards because of it tonight.

Toronto comes in overvalued as it is due to having won five straight, but all five of those wins came against Philadelphia, Deetroit, Indiana, Sacramento and Brooklyn, all of which currently have losing records.  Three of those victories came by 5 points or less.

The reason this is a tough spot for the Raptors is because they will be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 4th game in 5 days.  Making matters worse is the fact that they played an overtime game last night against the Nets.  Kyle Lowry played 44 minutes and DeMar DeRozan played 41.  The Raptors could be without starting center Jonas Valanciunas, who suffered an ankle injury against Brooklyn and is questionable.

Washington comes in undervalued after failing to cover the spread in each of its last five games overall.  Well, four of those games were on the road, and all five were against Western Conference teams.  It was also a 4 games in 5 days stretch.  Now, the Wizards come in refreshed and ready to go after having two days' rest since last playing on Wednesday.  They will clearly bring more energy to the court tonight.

Washington is 18-6 at home this season.  Toronto is 22-40 ATS in its last 62 games following four or more consecutive wins.  The Raptors are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Toronto is 4-11-1 ATS in its last 16 games overall.  The Wizards are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.  Roll with the Wizards Saturday.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Jan 31, 2015
Oklahoma vs. Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State
-2-105
  at  5DIMES
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Free

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Oklahoma State -2

The Oklahoma State Cowboys (14-6) will be out for revenge from one of their worst losses of the season in a 65-82 setback at in-state rival Oklahoma on January 17th.  While the Cowboys have struggled on the road, it has been a completely different story for them at home.

Indeed, Oklahoma State is 10-1 at home this season where it is outscoring opponents by an average of 18.8 points per game.  The Cowboys are 4-0 at home in Big 12 play with four double-digit blowout victories over Kansas State (61-47), Texas (69-58), Texas Tech (63-43) and Baylor (64-53).

Oklahoma has been solid at home this season as well, but it has been poor on the road.  The Sooners are just 2-4 in true road games this season.  They have lost each of their last three Big 12 road games to West Virginia (65-86), Kansas (78-85) and Baylor (58-69).

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series in recent years as the home team is 11-1 straight up in the last 12 meetings between the Sooners and Cowboys.  The home team has also gone 9-3 ATS in those 12 contests.

Oklahoma State is 61-29-4 ATS in its last 94 home games overall.  The Cowboys are 39-13-2 ATS in their last 54 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  The Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.  Oklahoma is 1-5 ATS in its last six games following a win by 20 points or more.  Bet Oklahoma State Saturday.

No. 1 Ranked Basketball Handicapper from 2012-13! Jack Jones came back with a No. 4 Hoops Finish in 2013-14 as well! He is coming off a 2-0 Friday SWEEP to add to his UNMATCHED 982-791 Hoops Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $133,750! Go straight for your bookie's throat on the hardwood today by signing up for Jack's Saturday Hoops 9-Pack for $59.95! This card features 4 NBA & 5 CBB winners, including FOUR 20* top plays! It would cost you roughly $290.00 to buy all nine picks separately, so YOU SAVE $230.00 with this 9-Pack! You are GUARANTEED PROFITS or Sunday hoops is ON JACK!

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Jan 31, 2015
Memphis vs. Gonzaga
Memphis
+18-110
  at  BMAKER
Tie
Play Type: Premium

15* Memphis/Gonzaga ESPN 2 Late-Night BAILOUT on Memphis +18

With a No. 3 national ranking and a 21-1 record, the Gonzaga Bulldogs are certainly one of the biggest public teams in the country.  They have a reputation from year's past as well that just has the betting public backing them every chance they get.  That means they have expectations to live up to, and sometimes those expectations are out of reach in terms of the point spread.

That has shown up here in recent games for the Bulldogs as they are just 2-4 ATS in their last six games overall.  They beat Santa Clara by 22 as 24.5-point favorites, Pepperdine by 2 as 12-point favorites, Loyola-Marymount by 17 as 19.5-point favorites, and Portland by 18 as 21-point favorites in their four most recent non-covers.

Memphis (13-7) has the athleticism to match Gonzaga in this one.  The Tigers come in playing their best basketball of the season having won five of their last six.  They have also won 10 of their last 13 games overall.  Four of their last five victories have come by double-digits with impressive wins over Cincinnati (by 13), UCF (by 20), Houston (by 18) and East Carolina (by 12).

Memphis is 6-1 straight up in its last seven meetings with Gonzaga dating back to 2005.  These teams met up last year with Memphis winning 60-54 as 4.5-point home favorites.  Now, they are 18-point road underdogs a year later?  There's clearly some value here folks based on that fact alone.  Also, keep in mind that Gonzaga is playing on one days' rest after beating Portland on Thursday, while Memphis comes in on two days' rest after playing on Wednesday.

Memphis is 7-0 ATS vs. top caliber teams that outscore their opponents by 12-plus points per game after 15-plus games over the last three seasons.  The Tigers are 28-9 ATS versus very good defensive teams that allow 39% or less shooting after 15-plus games since 1997.  Memphis is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games as a road underdog of 10 or more points.  Gonzaga is 0-7 ATS after three straight wins by 15 points or more over the last three seasons.  The Tigers are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 games following a ATS loss.  Take Memphis Saturday.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Jan 31, 2015
Alabama vs. Kentucky
Alabama
+19-104
  at  PINNACLE
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

15* Alabama/Kentucky SEC Saturday No-Brainer on Alabama +19

As the No. 1 team in the country, the Kentucky Wildcats are forced to lay big numbers often.  The betting public is all over this unbeaten team, and the Wildcats have now created expectations for themselves that they simply cannot live up to.

They have gone just 3-4 ATS in their last seven games overall.  That includes a 3-point win over Ole Miss as 23-point favorites, a 6-point win over Texas A&M as 14.5-point favorites, an 8-point win over Vanderbilt as 21.5-point favorites, and a 16-point win over Missouri as 17.5-point favorites.

Alabama (13-7), on the other hand, comes into this game undervalued due to having lost four of its last five games overall.  Well, four of those five games were remarkably decided by exactly 2 points, and the Crimson Tide came out on the short end of the stick in three of those.

I have no doubt that Alabama is one of the most improved teams in the country this season, and one that is fully capable of hanging with Kentucky today.  The Crimson Tide have seen six of their seven losses come by 13 points or less, including four of those by 2 points or fewer.

The lone exception was a 48-70 home loss to Kentucky as 9.5-point underdogs.  While that loss was concerning, the Crimson Tide will be out for revenge here.  I don't expect the Wildcats to be all that motivated for this game after already beating Alabama by 22 in their first meeting.  The Wildcats won't bring the kind of effort and focus it takes to put away the Crimson Tide by 19-plus points in the rematch.

Alabama is 7-0 ATS when revenging a same-season loss vs. opponent over the last three seasons.  The Crimson Tide are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 games following a home loss.  Alabama is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 road games as an underdog of 12.5 or more points.  The Crimson Tide are 13-2 ATS in road games vs. good defensive teams that allow 64 or fewer points per game over the last three seasons.  Also, Alabama comes into this game on three days' rest, while Kentucky comes in on just one day of rest after playing Missouri on Thursday.

That 22-point loss was the exception, not the rule in this series.  Alabama is 6-2 ATS in its last eight meetings with Kentucky.  In fact, 22 of the last 23 meetings in this series have been decided by 17 points or less.  In fact, 20 of those 23 meetings were decided by 12 points or fewer.  This makes for a 22-1 system backing the Crimson Tide pertaining to this 19-point spread today.  Bet Alabama Saturday.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Jan 31, 2015
North Carolina vs. Louisville
Louisville
-5-108
  at  5DIMES
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

15* UNC/Louisville ESPN Saturday ANNIHILATOR on Louisville -5

The No. 10 Louisville Cardinals (17-3) are going to be out for revenge against the No. 13 North Carolina Tar Heels (17-4) today.  They lost a heartbreaker to the Tar Heels 71-72 on the road in their first meeting of 2014-15 on January 15th.  Look for them to have their revenge in blowout fashion at home this time around.

Louisville is 11-2 at home this season where it is outscoring opponents by an average of 17.4 points per game.  Its only two home losses came to two of the best teams in the country in Kentucky and Duke.

Outside of a road loss to Kentucky by 14 points, the Tar Heels have played an extremely soft road schedule this season.  Their other four true road games came against UNC-Greensboro, Clemson, NC State and Wake Forest.  This will easily be their second-toughest road game of the season, and I look for them to struggle like they did against the Wildcats.

Plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LOUISVILLE) - cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, in a game involving two top-level teams (winning at least 80%) are 71-33 (68.3%) ATS since 1997.  North Carolina is 0-6 ATS in road games versus very good teams that outscore their opponents by 8-plus points per game after 15-plus games over the last two seasons. Rick Pitino is 37-19 ATS revenging a road loss as the coach of Louisville.  The Tar Heels are 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 vs. ACC foes.

The Tar Heels are 0-6 ATS after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games over the last two seasons.  North Carolina is 0-7 ATS after a combined score of 165 points or more over the last two years.  UNC is 1-8 ATS after a game where it made 50% or more of its 3-point shots over the last three seasons.  These three trends combine for a 21-1 system backing the Cardinals.  Roll with Louisville Saturday.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Jan 31, 2015
Georgia vs. South Carolina
South Carolina
-3-111
  at  PINNACLE
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

20* SEC GAME OF THE MONTH on South Carolina -3

The South Carolina Gamecocks could not possibly be more undervalued than they are right now.  They have lost six of their last seven games overall while going 0-7 ATS in the process.  The betting public wants nothing to do with them right now, which is why they are showing such great value as only 3-point home favorites over Georgia.

A closer look at this rough patch shows that the Gamecocks have suffered several narrow defeats.  Indeed, four of their six losses during this stretch came by 6 points or less, while the other two came to Kentucky at home and Ole Miss on the road.  They have simply been on the short end of the stick in close games, but I look for that to change today.

Georgia could not possibly be more overvalued than it is right now due to going 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in its last five games overall.  Three of its wins have come at home during this stretch, while the other two were narrow road victories over SEC bottom feeders Vanderbilt (70-67) and Mississippi State (72-66).

The Bulldogs are going to be short-handed today as they are expected to be without their leading scorer (13.5 ppg) and rebounder (7.3 rpg), Marcus Thornton.  This guy is a beast inside and shoots 50.5% from the field.  Thornton has played every game up to this point, but now he'll miss his first game of the season due to a concussion.  That's a huge loss for the Bulldogs, and one that I don't believe they'll be able to overcome.

Plays on a favorite (S CAROLINA) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games against opponent after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games are 76-37 (67.3%) ATS since 1997.  This trend just goes to show there is value in backing teams on poor ATS streaks against teams on great ATS streaks.  Take South Carolina Saturday.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Jan 31, 2015
Wichita State vs. Northern Iowa
Northern Iowa
+2½-110
  at  BMAKER
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

20* Missouri Valley GAME OF THE MONTH on Northern Iowa +2.5

I look at Wichita State (19-2) and Northern Iowa (19-2) as pretty much equals.  I also believe the Panthers have a real shot of winning the Missouri Valley this year, but they cannot afford to lose to the Shockers at home if they want to do so.  Wichita State has a great reputation due to its Final Four run, but that's the only reason it is favored here when it shouldn't be.

Northern Iowa is a perfect 10-0 at home this season where it is outscoring opponents by an average of 11.6 points per game.  Its only two losses this season came on the road to VCU (87-93, OT) and Evansville (49-52).  This is an experienced team that returned all five starters from last year, and one that will want revenge after losing both meetings with the Shockers last season.

Wichita State has been vulnerable this season.  It has losses to both Utah and George Washington, and it also has narrow victories over Hawaii (80-79) and Alabama (53-52).  Six of its wins have come by single-digits this season.  The Shockers just aren't as dominant as they were a year ago, and they will prove to be beatable against their top contenders today.

Plays against any team (WICHITA ST) - red hot team - having won 18 or more of their last 20 games, playing their 3rd game in a week are 71-38 (65.1%) ATS over the last five seasons.  The Shockers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  The Panthers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.  The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Bet Northern Iowa Saturday.

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 01, 2015
Cincinnati vs. East Carolina
East Carolina
+10-104
  
Play Type: Premium

15* CBB Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on East Carolina +10

The East Carolina Pirates are just 8-12 this season, while the Cincinnati Bearcats are 15-5.  However, I believe because of these records, the Pirates are showing excellent value as 10-point home underdogs to the Bearcats Sunday afternoon.

East Carolina has lost six of its last seven games overall coming in.  It has played a brutal schedule with road losses to South Florida, Cincinnati, SMU and Memphis.  Following a 21-point loss at Cincinnati in early January, you can bet the Pirates will be out for revenge at home this time around.

Without question, East Carolina has been a much better home team than a road team this year.  It is a very solid 7-3 at home while going a superb 4-1 ATS in home lined games.  It is outscoring teams by an average of 11.6 points per game at home as well.  All three of its home losses have come by 8 points or less, including a 64-66 loss to a very good Tulsa team as 9.5-point underdogs a week ago.

Cincinnati comes into this game overvalued due to having won four straight and eight of its last 10 games overall.  Well, this team has been vulnerable on the road this season, going just 2-3 in true road games.  Off a big home win over Connecticut on Thursday, and with an even bigger game with SMU on deck, this is clearly a letdown spot for the Bearcats.  That's especially the case considering they have already beaten the Pirates handily once this season.

Plays against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CINCINNATI) - average shooting team (42.5-45%) against a poor shooting team (40-42.5%) after 15+ games, after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 34-9 (79.1%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Cincinnati is 32-56 ATS in its last 88 games after having won 15 or more of its last 20 games coming in.  The Bearcats are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 road games.  Cincinnati is 8-32 ATS in its last 40 Sunday games.  The Pirates are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.  ECU is 4-0 ATS in its last four home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  Roll with East Carolina Sunday.

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Feb 01, 2015
Seattle Seahawks vs. New England Patriots
Seattle Seahawks
0-106
  
Play Type: Premium

15* Patriots/Seahawks Super Bowl XLIX ATS ANNIHILATOR on Seattle PK

Seattle (14-4) got off to a shaky 3-3 start this season. It kicked it into high gear thereafter, going 11-1 in its final 12 games to reach the Super Bowl. It has been really impressive down the stretch, going 8-0 SU & 7-1 ATS in its last eight games overall with seven of those victories coming by double-digits.

The Seahawks have been an absolute cash cow at the pay window because of how they have been blowing out the opposition. They have won their last eight games by an average of 14.4 points per game. They have held seven of their last eight opponents to 17 points or fewer, including five of those to a touchdown or less. Four of the eight opponents didn’t even score a touchdown against Seattle.

As you may know, the Seahawks have the league’s top-ranked defense in scoring (16.3 points/game) and total (274.4 yards/game) defense. However, they also put up solid numbers on offense at 25.2 points and 375.4 yards per game. So, they are outgaining their opponents by an average of 101.0 yards per game, which is far and away the best mark in the league.

Looking at statistics alone, there’s no question that the Seahawks are the superior team. The Patriots are only outgaining their opponents by an average of 29.0 yards per game. They are averaging 370.3 yards per game offensively and giving up 341.3 yards per game defensively. While both numbers are solid, they are nothing compared to what the Seahawks have done this year statistically, especially here of late.

New England has to be feeling a little guilty about its use of 11 deflated footballs in the AFC Championship Game. These Patriots players may already know that if they win the Super Bowl, it will be tainted to a degree. That’s a sick feeling coming into the Super Bowl. Meanwhile, the Seahawks must feel like they cannot lose after what they did to come back and beat Green Bay in the NFC Championship. From a mental perspective, the Seahawks have an edge there as well.

Speaking of that win over Green Bay, it was by far the worst game the Seahawks have played in quite some time, and they still found a way to win.  They committed five turnovers and tried to give the game away to the Packers, and they couldn't even take it.  There's no chance that the Seahawks are that sloppy with the football again in the Super Bowl. 

Look for Russell Wilson to learn from his mistakes, and for the Seahawks to not be so pass-happy in this game when they know they have a huge edge in running the football.  They rank 1st in the league in rushing (170 YPG, 5.2 YPC), and you'll see a heavy dose of Marshawn Lynch and Wilson on the ground in this one.  Also, it's worth mentioning that Wilson is a perfect 10-0 in his career against opposing quarterbacks who have won a Super Bowl.  He is a real gamer and doesn't get enough credit.

Seattle is 10-1 ATS as an underdog over the last three seasons. The Seahawks are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 vs. a team with a winning record. Seattle is 34-16-1 ATS in its last 51 games overall. New England is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 playoff games. The Patriots are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games on grass. New England is 0-4 ATS in its last four Super Bowl appearances.  Take the Seahawks in Super Bowl XLIX Sunday.

Free Prop Bets (From Bovada): My Picks in BOLD

Will there be a defensive or special teams TD scored in the game?

Yes (+155)
No (-190)
Answer: No (-190)

Will the team that wins the coin toss win the game?

Yes (-115)
No (-115)
Answer: Yes (-115) - Note: Seattle and NE are a combined 18-2 when they win the coin toss, 10-6 when they don't this season.

Longest touchdown scored in the game?

Over 44.5 (-115)
Under 44.5 (-115)
Answer: Under 44.5 (-115)

Shortest successful field goal in the Game?

Over 25.5 (-115)
Under 25.5 (-115)
Answer: Under 25.5 (-115)

Which half will have more points scored?

1st half +1/2 (-115)
2nd half -1/2 (-115)
Answer: 1st half +1/2 (-115)

Largest lead of the game by either team?

Over 14 (-120)
Under 14 (-110)
Answer: Under 14 (-110)

Team to have the longest punt in the game?

New England (-115)
Seattle (-115)
Answer: Seattle (-115)

Tom Brady Total Passing Yards?

Over 260.5 (-130)
Under 260.5 (+100)
Answer: Under 260.5 (+100)

Brandon LaFell Total Receiving Yards?

Over 50.5 (-115)
Under 50.5 (-115)
Answer: Under 50.5 (-115)

Marshawn Lynch Total Rushing Yards?

Over 92.5 (-135)
Under 92.5 (+105)
Answer: Over 92.5 (-135)

Which coach will be shown first on TV after kickoff?

Pete Carroll (+100)
Bill Belichick (-140)
Answer: Belichick (-140)

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Feb 01, 2015
Seattle Seahawks vs. New England Patriots
Total
47½ un-110
  
Play Type: Top Premium

25* NFL Playoffs TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Patriots/Seahawks UNDER 47.5

With a full two weeks to prepare for one another, the advantage has to go to the defenses in the Super Bowl between the New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks.  Bill Belichick and Pete Carroll are arguably the two best head coaches in the NFL today, and you can bet that they will leave no stone unturned.

These are also two of the best scoring defenses in the NFL.  The Patriots only give up 19.5 points per game this season, while the Seahawks are tops in the league in allowing just 16.3 points per game.  Both defenses get better as the game goes on, too.  The Seahawks and Patriots have allowed three second-half touchdowns in their past 16 games combined.

Seattle also ranks No. 1 in the league in total defense, giving up just 274.4 yards per game this season.  It has allowed 17 or fewer points in seven of its last eight games overall, and 7 or fewer points in five of those.  The Patriots have allowed 17 or fewer points in five of their last six games overall.

The Seahawks know that they aren't going to win a shootout with the Patriots, so look for them to give Marshawn Lynch a heavy dose of carries in this game to try and move the chains and keep New England's offense off the field.  The Seahawks rank 1st in the league in rushing and will ride both Lynch and Wilson's legs offensively, which will eat up clock and aid the UNDER as well.

New England knows that if it wants any chance of beating Seattle, it is going to have to run the football.  That's because the Seahawks rank 1st in the league against the pass, giving up just 187 yards per game.  That makes this an excellent matchup for the Seahawks because the Patriots rely heavily on the pass to move the ball.  They did show some versatility in running it 40 times for 177 yards against the Colts in the AFC Championship.

This will be the 6th Super Bowl that the Patriots will have played in during the Tom Brady/Bill Belichick era.  Four of the five previously have been low-scoring despite New England coming in with one of the best offenses in the league in each.  They lost to the Giants 21-17 in the 2012 Super Bowl, lost to the Giants 17-14 in 2008, beat the Eagles 24-21 in 2005, beat the Panthers 32-29 in 2004, and beat the Rams 20-17 in 2002. 

As you can see, four of their last five Super Bowls have seen 45 or fewer combined points, and three of those with 38 or fewer.  In 2007, New England scored 36.8 points per game during the regular season, then 14 points in the Super Bowl. In 2011, New England scored 32.1 points per game during the regular season, then 17 points in the Super Bowl.

The UNDER is 4-1 in Patriots last five Super Bowls.  The UNDER is 11-5 in Seahawks last 16 vs. a team with a winning record.  Bill Belichick is 25-11 to the UNDER In road games vs. good offensive teams scoring 24 or more points per game in all games he has coached since 1992.  Belichick is 22-8 to the UNDER versus good defensive teams that allow 285 or fewer yards per game in the second half of the season in all games he has coached since 1992.  Bet the UNDER in Super Bowl XLIX between the Patriots & Seahawks.

Free Prop Bets (From Bovada): My Picks in BOLD

Will there be a defensive or special teams TD scored in the game?

Yes (+155)
No (-190)
Answer: No (-190)

Will the team that wins the coin toss win the game?

Yes (-115)
No (-115)
Answer: Yes (-115) - Note: Seattle and NE are a combined 18-2 when they win the coin toss, 10-6 when they don't this season.

Longest touchdown scored in the game?

Over 44.5 (-115)
Under 44.5 (-115)
Answer: Under 44.5 (-115)

Shortest successful field goal in the Game?

Over 25.5 (-115)
Under 25.5 (-115)
Answer: Under 25.5 (-115)

Which half will have more points scored?

1st half +1/2 (-115)
2nd half -1/2 (-115)
Answer: 1st half +1/2 (-115)

Largest lead of the game by either team?

Over 14 (-120)
Under 14 (-110)
Answer: Under 14 (-110)

Team to have the longest punt in the game?

New England (-115)
Seattle (-115)
Answer: Seattle (-115)

Tom Brady Total Passing Yards?

Over 260.5 (-130)
Under 260.5 (+100)
Answer: Under 260.5 (+100)

Brandon LaFell Total Receiving Yards?

Over 50.5 (-115)
Under 50.5 (-115)
Answer: Under 50.5 (-115)

Marshawn Lynch Total Rushing Yards?

Over 92.5 (-135)
Under 92.5 (+105)
Answer: Over 92.5 (-135)

Which coach will be shown first on TV after kickoff?

Pete Carroll (+100)
Bill Belichick (-140)
Answer: Belichick (-140)

SERVICE BIO

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2011

CBB: 98-74 (57%)
NBA: 120-108 (53%)

2010

MLB: 212-204 (+900 units)

2009

MLB: 210-109 (+1,396 units)
NFL: 57-43 (57%)

2008

NFL: 81-74 (52%)
CFB: 120-112 (52%)
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Jack Jones is one of the best handicappers on the planet when it comes to breaking down pro games. He has dominated the NFL, NBA, and MLB since joining our site. If you see one of his top plays listed on a game between two pro teams, it’s time to lock and load.