Alex Smart

The White Sox have lost 11 of their 12 games on the road this season, in what has begun as an absolutely abysmal start  to their campaign which gives me little credence to consider them as viable underdogs. 

White Sox expected starter Crochet goes to the hill in  his sixth start of the season. He is 1-3 with a 5.61 ERA and 34 strikeouts in 25 2/3 innings pitched.The southpaws most recent appearance was on Friday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he threw three innings, surrendering seven earned runs while allowing five hits. In his current form he is fade material. Note: White Sox are averaging just 2.2 rpg scored. 

CHI WHITE SOX are 2-17  against the money line against right-handed starters this season. CHI WHITE SOX are 4-21   against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +200 over the last 2 seasons.

 MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (CHI WHITE SOX) - very bad AL offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA 3.33 or better ), after a loss by 2 runs or less are 38-3 L/5 seasons for a 93% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Minnesota to win

Atlanta routed the Marlins 5-0 Tuesday while cashing as a -258 home favorite and Im betting on another top tier effort from the Braves again as the weak bats of the Marlins (2.16 BA) go head to head against expected starting pitcher  Lopez  (2-0, 0.50 ERA) who makes his 4th start. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 9.0 BB/9 and 3.0 K/9 in 18 innings. The starter is backed with a solid Bullpen that has garnered a 3.38 ERA. Advantage Braves 

MIAMI is 4-16  against the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season with the average rpg diff clicking in at -2. 

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (MIAMI) - bad offensive team (3.8 or less runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or less) (NL), with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games. are 33-1 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff +3.6 which qualifies on this runline offering. 

ATLANTA is 2-0  against MIAMI this season with the victories coming by 5-0 and 3-0 scores.

The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)

Play on Atlanta to win -1.5 runline 

In game 1 of this series the  Celtics outscored the Heat 31-14 in the third quarter and led 91-59 entering the fourth. Needless to say, the Heats defense first  game plan did not work, and they now need to be more aggressive offensively or be blown off the court again. Tonight look for the Heat to try to speed their game up, and for more shots to drop and for a higher scoring game than the lines-makers expect.Mazzulla is 18-7 OVER after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half as the coach of BOSTON with a combined average of 234.2 ppg scored. MIAMI in 26 games as a road underdog this season have seen a combined average of 213.8 ppg scored.MIAMI is 5-13 ATS in 18 games revenging a road loss vs opponent this season have seen a combined average of 218.8 ppg scored.

Play over

The Pelicans played the Thunder tough in game 1 of this series losing by a 94-92 count and now Im betting on another very close physical playoff game. Note: The road team in this series has covered 8 straight meetings and number 9 Im betting is on tonights agenda.

NEW ORLEANS is 21-12 ATS  as an underdog this season with a +0.5 ppg diff. NEW ORLEANS is 14-6 ATS as a road underdog this season with average ppg diff of +2.4.

Daigneault is 11-25 ATS in April games as the coach of OKLAHOMA CITY.

Home teams vs. the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a close home win by 3 points or less, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record L/43 games dating back 5 seasons have seen a average ppg diff of +3.8 ppg . 

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (108-114 PPG), after scoring 105 points or less 2 straight games are 58-25 ATS L/27 seasons for 68% conversion rate.

Play on New Orleans to cover