ASA Wins

ASA WNBA play on OVER 173.5 LA Sparks at Golden State Valkyries, 10pm ET - This game should be a back-and-forth affair with plenty of points to push this game OVER the total. The Sparks are the 3rd fastest paced team in the league at 97.75 possessions per game and have an offensive Net ratings of 108.8 – which largely comes without Kelsey Plum in the lineup (was out with an injury). With the All-Star guard back in the lineup the Sparks have scored 96, 89, 88 and 111 in their last four games. The other constant we have for this matchup is the Sparks horrendous defense which is last in the WNBA in defensive Net rating at 111.1. This isn’t a surprise as they were one of the worst defensive teams in the league a year ago also. Golden State is the 3rd best 3PT shooting team in the W and current rank 3rd in offensive Net rating at 110.0. They are much better defensively than the Sparks but they are vulnerable defending the 3-point line with the 15th rated 3PT% defense. We are expecting plenty of points and a game that goes into the 180’s.

ASA FREE WNBA play on LA Sparks +5.5 at Golden State Valkyries, 10pm ET - This line is higher than it should be and the value clearly lies with the Sparks in this matchup. The Valkyries are over-priced here as a result of their 7-1 ATS record as a favorite this season. A regression in those spread results is coming with inflated numbers. Based on recent games for each team this line should be -3.5 at best in favor of the Valkyries. GST was recently favored by -9.5 at Seattle and -7.5 points at home against the Mercury. L.A. also just played at Seattle and was favored by -7.5 points – nearly the same spread - and they played in Phoenix and were favored by -1.5. The Sparks played without All-Star guard Kelsey Plum for several games but now have her back and their offense is humming with an offensive Net rating of 115.3 in their last four games. Granted, the Valkyries are much better defensively than the Sparks but L.A.’s offense should keep this game close throughout.

#952 ASA PLAY ON Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 (+100) over Miami Marlins, Monday at 6:40 PM ET - The Phillies are off a 4-0 loss yesterday. They are 7-0 the last 7 times they have entered a game off a loss! Also, Philadelphia is a perfect 3-0 this season in Zack Wheeler's home starts and they are 7-2 in his 9 starts overall. Wheeler got a late start to this season but he has been fantastic since returning and is already 5-1 with a 2.22 ERA in his 9 starts this season. The Marlins Ryan Gusto is in his 2nd season and has appeared in 31 games (19 starts) at the MLB level and has an unimpressive 5.69 ERA. He is a right-hander and most of his work at the MLB level was last season. That said, it is important to note that he compiled a 1.91 WHIP against left-handed batters last season. Allowing an average of 2 baserunners per inning is always going to lead to trouble. The Phillies are loaded with strong left-handed bats and they are going to give Gusto a lot of problems in this one. The Marlins have been hot and are on a winning streak but they now face a tough Phillies pitcher while their own starter today is very likely to get roughed up. That being said, you can see why this is a mismatch. We are laying 1.5 runs with the Phillies run line in this one and note that the Marlins most recent loss was by just 1 run but that this followed 14 of 16 Miami defeats coming by a margin of at least 2 runs. Lay the -1.5 with Phillies

2026 FIFA World Cup, Group Stage: #225278 ASA PLAY ON Iran Money Line -105 over New Zealand, Monday at 9 pm et – Much has been made of Iran having a complicated situation due to training in Mexico for this match and having to travel into USA for each match during this competition. Of course all of this is because of the ongoing conflict between the USA and Iran. However, this has resulted in line value in this spot. This money line opened much higher and now we are getting a very small price on an Iranian side that is much stronger and more talented than the New Zealand side they are facing. Also, traveling from Tijuana, Mexico to Los Angeles is not a long trip. Additionally, Iran's largest presence outside of Iran is in Los Angeles as there is a big community of Iranians that reside in LA. Last but not least, the news broke this morning that a peace deal may have finally been reached and that President Trump will be signing off on it Friday. The point is that all of this is leading to a solid line value with the stronger and more talented team as Iran is the superior club in this match-up. New Zealand has lost 9 of its last 11 matches and this is going to be a tough match-up for them. Take advantage of the line value in this one. Lay the very short price with Iran here.