ASA Wins

#908 ASA PLAY ON New York Yankees -140 over Texas Rangers, Thursday at 12:35 PM ET - The Yankees were on a 15-2 run prior to yesterday's 6-1 loss to the Rangers.  The Yankees are a perfect 5-0 the last 5 times they have entered a game off a loss.  That being said, considering they are off a loss here plus are at home, we like the Yankees in this spot even though they are in a moderate price range.  That is keeping the rating at 3 units but we love the spot.  New York will not be home again until May 19th after this one and, before a long road trip, they will be extra focused here on getting the win and also notching another series win by knocking off the Rangers today.  Texas had lost 6 of its last 8 games prior to yesterday's big 6-1 win.  The Rangers are 0-4 the last 4 times they have entered a game off a win by a margin of 4+ runs.  Coming off the blowout win, Texas falls short here.  The Yankees and Rangers both have solid bullpens this season but NY is the much stronger hitting team in this match-up.  Also, in terms of the starters, Blackburn is making his first start of 2026 but has been solid out of the bullpen this season and has already made 86 starts in his MLB career.  This is a good match-up for him against a Rangers team that typically struggles.  As for Rangers starter MacKenzie Gore, he is 1-2 with a 5.79 ERA in his 4 road starts this season plus went 3-9 with a 4.01 ERA on the road last season.  Gore is 12-23 on the road the last 4 seasons and we look for the Yankees to pound him in this one.  Lay the price with the home team in this one Thursday in the earliest afternoon game. 

#235002 ASA TOP PLAY ON Strasbourg -105 over Rayo Vallecano, Thursday at 3 ET - This one in Europa Conference League action.  This is the 2nd Leg of this match-up.  We like the value of the money line which is hovering around even money here.  Rayo Vallecano, their last game notwithstanding, has been on a long-term run in which they have struggled on the road.  Now they face a tough challenge on the road as Strasbourg is down 1-0 after the 1st Leg was a shut out road loss for them.  Strasbourg will respond on their home pitch and all they need is a 1-goal win to at least send this match to added extra time (AET) and possibly even penalty kicks.  Of course our selection will be graded after 90 minutes plus the stoppage time and we just don't see Strasbourg being denied on their home pitch.  Strasbourg is on a 5-match unbeaten run in their home matches in Conference League action and they did beat Mainz 4-0 in a dominating win as well when they were trailing after a 1st Leg result.  Strasbourg enters this match off a loss in French Ligue 1 action but they were resting a lot of players for this match here at home against Rayo Vallecano.  The fact Strasbourg played poorly in the 1st Leg of this battle yet only trails 1-0 is a great situation as they know they are still in this battle with a chance to advance and they take advantage of a La Liga side that is off a road win but had lost 3 straight road matches before that win.  Rayo Vallecano has 10 road losses this season in La Liga action and they have been outscored overall by a 27-14 margin in their road matches in La Liga for a -13 goal differential.  While we certainly respect the La Liga side in this one, Rayo Vallecano's road struggles are real and we like the low-priced odds on the home team from French Ligue 1 in this one!  The hosts will play so much better here in this one now that they are at home for the 2nd Leg.  Take Strasbourg on Thursday afternoon.  

ASA NBA play on UNDER 210.5 LA Lakers at Oklahoma City Thunder, 8:40m ET - The Lakers path for success in this series is to limit possessions as they did in RD1 with 92.40 possessions per game, lowest of the playoff teams. On the pace note, the Thunder saw a regression in their pace of play compared to their regular season numbers as they went from 100.37 possessions per game to just 96.75 possessions per game in the first round against Portland. Even after a hot shooting start to the series in round 1 the Lakers offense is 12th in Net rating in the playoffs at 107.4 with an eFG% of 53.8%. The Lakers shot 53%, 46% and 41% from deep in the first three games of that series then dipped to 23% and 26% in Games 4-5. In game 6 they corrected to 43% from beyond the arc but also shot just 40% overall. Against the Thunder in Game 1 the Lakers really struggled to score putting up just 90-points on 41% shooting. It’s going to be tough to score against this Thunder D that was best in the league in FG% D allowing 43.8% on the season and was the #1 defensive efficiency team in the league allowing 1.078-points per possession. Granted, the Thunder are going to score in this game with their 1.288-points per possession playoff offense but with limited possessions and the Lakers potentially not scoring more than 95-points we have to bet UNDER in this one. In three of the four regular season meetings the Thunder held the Lakers to 87, 96 and 92-points and then just limited them to 90 in G1 of this series with 85 field goal attempts. Even if OKC gets to the 110-115 range, this game still has a great shot at staying UNDER.