ASA Wins

ASA WNBA play on UNDER 173 Toronto Tempo at Minnesota Lynx, 8PM ET - Scoring is up slightly this season compared to last season and it’s largely to do with better overall shooting as field goal attempts and pace are on par with 2025’s numbers. We should see a regression in shooting percentages and games resulting in lower scores as the season wears on. In this particular WNBA game we have the 13th worst shooting team in the league (Toronto) facing a Lynx team that ranks 5th in opponents FG%. Minnesota was the best overall defensive team in the league a year ago but currently rank 9th in defensive Net rating. We know this Lynx team is much better defensively than their early season efficiency stats would suggest. Toronto ranks 7th in DNR and defends the 3-point line well with the 5th best 3PT% defense. The Tempo allow 85.2PPG on the season which is -2.3 points less than league average. Minnesota is 10th in offensive Net ratings this season and it's obvious they miss Collier most on the offensive end of the floor. Toronto is a misleading 3rd in ONR this season but they’ve faced the Sparks twice who are the worst defense in the league. Our math model is projecting 168.3 total points in this one…BET UNDER!

ASA WNBA free play – Phoenix Mercury -3 vs LA Sparks, 10PM ET - These two teams have gotten off to poor starts with the Sparks 1-3 SU, the Mercury currently stand 2-3 SU. They are comparable offensively with the Mercury the 5th best offensive Net rating team in the league at 109.7 and the Sparks 8th at 107.7. The big difference between the two teams is defensively with the Sparks the worst team in the league in most key statistical categories on that end of the court. L.A. is 15th in defensive Net rating at 121.3, give up 98.3PPG on 51% shooting by opponents. In comparison the Mercury rank 9th in DNR at 105.4 while allowing the 4th fewest points per game at 86 per. Phoenix has covered 6 of the last eight meetings with the Sparks and will get cover #7 tonight. Lay the points with the Mercury.

ASA NBA play on NY Knicks -6.5 vs. Cleveland Cavaliers, 8pm ET - Rest = rust! Saying the Knicks started slow in Game 1 would be the understatement of all time. It took New York 3.5 quarters to get going and pull a miraculous come from behind win in OT over the Cavs and we feel the lingering emotional effects for Cleveland will impact tonight’s game. New York exploited James Harden defensively late in that game with Jalen Brunson taking over in the 4th quarter. The Knicks got off to an unexpected slow starting in G1 and looked tentative offensively. By the end of the game the Knicks had 60 points in the paint compared to the Cavs 38 and had a +9-rebounding advantage. Four of the five Cavaliers starters were minus in +/- for the game. New York has won 8 straight games and covered the spread in 7 of eight. At home they’ve been nearly unbeatable with 4 straight wins and two of those came by 29 and 39-points. New York was one of the best teams in the NBA at home this season overall at 35-11 SU with an average margin of victory of +10.3PPG. So far in these playoffs they have the best overall Net rating of +18.9 as they are getting it done on both ends of the court. Cleveland comes into this game with an overall Net rating in the playoffs of +0.2 Cleveland is 2-6 SU on the road in this postseason and 5 of those six losses came by double-digits. The Cavs were 27-22 SU on the road this season overall with an average plus/minus of +2.3PPG. The home team won all 4 meetings between these two teams this season and the Knicks get it done by double-digits in Game 2.

#912 ASA PLAY ON New York Yankees -165 over Toronto Blue Jays, Thursday at 7:05 PM ET - The Blue Jays are expected to go with a bullpen game and we like the home side to bounce back here off of yesterday's loss. Carlos Rodon is the expected starter for the Yankees and he is still settling in as this is just his 3rd start this season. Yes he has been shaky so far but he has allowed only 5 hits in his 8 innings of work. Also, in his most recent start Rodon lasted a little under 4 innings but struck out 6 in that one and his walks were a little more manageable at 3 after he struggled in that department in his first start this season. Look for the southpaw to settle in here and note that the Blue Jays, prior to yesterday's 2-1 win, were just 3-8 in divisional games this season and only 8-16 on the road. Now they got that tight win but Toronto on Thursday is facing a Yankees team that is 5-1 the last 6 times they have entered a game off a loss in which they were held to 2 runs or less. Prior to yesterday's loss the Yankees were on an 11-1 run in home games and we expect them to bounce back big here in the Bronx Thursday.