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Today’s Free Winning ATS Sports Picks from Top Vegas Handicappers
1* Free NFL Pick on Philadelphia Eagles +3
I don't think the Cowboys struggles are going to subside when they host the Eagles on Sunday Night Football. Dallas has lost 3 straight after starting the season 3-0 and are fresh off a loss at the Jets as a 7-point favorite.
Sometimes scheduling can play tricks on ya. People couldn't get enough of Dallas to start the year, but their 3-0 start was against the Dolphins, Redskins and Giants. The offense has really struggled to get going against better teams and I think they are in for a long day against this Eagles defensive front. Philadelphia is No. 2 in the NFL against the run, allowing just 72.8 ypg.
I also love backing the Eagles off that embarrassing 38-20 loss at Minnesota. They are 7-3 ATS last 10 off a SU loss of more than 14 points. Cowboys are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 at home off an upset loss as a favorite and are just 5-14 ATS under Jason Garrett as a home favorite of 3 or less. Take Philadelphia!
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[1%] Free Play on Jets over 42½
The set-up: Philadelphia is 3-3 and off a 38-20 road loss at Minnesota. The Cowboys are 3-3 as well and they're off a terrible road loss to the Jets, falling 24-22. The Eagles defense looked particularly horrible last weekend though, allowing three TD passes to Kick Cousins and I think that Dak Prescott is going to bounce back here and take advantage at home. Philadelphia stand out DeSean Jackson has an abdomen issue and is listed as questionable for this one as well.
The pick: Despite the disappointing result last weekend, Prescott still finished with 277 passing yards and RB Ezekiel Elliot still finished with 105 rushing yards. Note as well that Philadelphia is a poor 2-5 ATS in its last seven following a road loss (including 0-1 ATS this year), while the Cowboys are still 7-3 ATS in their last ten as a home favorite.
1* FREE PICK on the Dallas Cowboys.
Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Eagles/Cowboys UNDER 49
Both the Dallas Cowboys and Philadelphia Eagles are highly motivated for a win here Sunday night in the NFC East rivalry. The Eagles are coming off a bad loss at Minnesota, while the Cowboys are coming off three straight upset losses. This game will be played close to the vest, and I think points will be hard to come by in this divisional showdown.
The Cowboys have injuries on offense that have slowed them down on that side of the ball. Both starting tackles in Tyron Smith and La’el Collins have been out with injuries and are questionable to return this week. Randall Cobb is battling multiple injuries, and star receiver Amari Cooper left last week’s games against the Jets with a quad injury. Both are questionable to play this week.
The Eagles get some good news on the injury front defensively as they are expected to get a couple cornerbacks back from injury. Their secondary has been their weakness, but they should have it more fortified this week with the return of those two players. But the offense has some injury issues too with LT Jason Peters, WR DeSean Jackson and RB Darren Sproles are questionable this week.
The Cowboys are a team that like to establish the run, but they haven’t been doing that in recent weeks. Look for them to try and get back to that this week because letting Dak Prescott throw the ball 44 times against Green Bay and 40 times against the Jets did not work. But the Eagles have the second-best run defense in the NFL, giving up just 72.8 rushing yards per game and 3.3 per carry.
Based on the series history, this total has been set too high. The Eagles and Cowboys have combined for 47 or fewer points at the end of regulation in each of their last six meetings. They have averaged just 38.5 combined points per game at the end of regulation in those six games, which is 10.5 points less than this posted total of 49. There is some serious value on this UNDER Sunday night.
Philadelphia is 8-1 UNDER vs. poor passing defenses that allow 235 or more passing yards per game over the last two seasons. The Eagles are 7-0 UNDER after allowing 6.5 or more yards per play in their previous game over the last two years. Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.
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