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Today’s Free Winning ATS Sports Picks from Top Vegas Handicappers
1* Free Play on Magic/Cavs under212½ -109
The Cavaliers (5-15) have earned the status of one of the NBA’s worst teams. Tonight, they’ll be hosting the Magic (10-11) in Cleveland. The over/under is set at 212.5 points.
With a win this evening, Orlando would earn themselves a .500 record for the first time since late October. The Magic have won three in a row, but have failed to score more than 100 points in two of their last four games. The first matchup between these two clubs ended 94-85 in favor of Orlando.
On average, the Magic are scoring 103.5 points while allowing 103.4 points per game.
Although Evan Fournier is scoring 19.8 points per game, the Magic will once again be without Nikola Vucevic, who’s the team’s second-leading scorer.
The Cavaliers have yet to hit a smooth stretch. Most recently, Cleveland has lost four in a row. Offensively, the Cavs haven’t scored more than 110 points in any of their last 12 contests. Most recently, Cleveland put up only 94 points against Detroit.
On average, the Cavaliers are scoring 104.2 points while allowing 112.8 points.
Kevin Love is one of Cleveland’s top two scorers, but he’s taken a step back and is now averaging only 16.7 points and 10.7 rebounds per game.
[1%] Free Play on Montana -7½
1* Free Sharp Play on Coyotes +161
My money is on the Coyotes to cash in a win as a big road dog against the Penguins. I just think the price here is too good to pass up with Arizona, who comes in with some momentum off back-to-back road wins over Columbus and Philadelphia. Pittsburgh is off a win, but haven't really been playing well, as they are just 5-6 in their last 11 overall. BET THE COYOTES +161!
Free Play on Penguins -165
1* NCAAF - Free Pick on Clemson Tigers -28
I got no problem laying the big number here with Clemson in the ACC Championship Game. It's crazy to think that there could be this big of a gap in a Power 5 conference, which might tempt some people to take the points. Not me. In fact, I think there's some value here with the Tigers at this price.
Clemson has to be the least hyped defending champ to finish the regular-season undefeated that I can remember. I think it's worked in the Tigers' favor, as it's allowed them to play with a chip on their shoulder. Last year's national championship was great, but Clemson is on a mission to keep winning and become the same kind of dynasty that Alabama has been for the last decade plus.
No disrespect to Virginia, but they got no shot of keeping this game close. The Cavaliers outscored their ACC opponents by a respectable 7.9 ppg and outgained them by 27.8 ypg. That's great an all, but Clemson was +35.7 ppg and +319.7 ypg.
Last year it was a similar story against Pitt in the ACC title game and the Tigers won that contest 42-10 as a 27-point favorite. The year before they rolled Miami 38-3 as a mere 10-point favorite.
Tigers are 15-5 ATS last 20 games played on a neutral field and a perfect 6-0 on a neutral site if the total is between 49.5 and 56. They are also 7-0 ATS last 7 road games when they come in having won 7 or more consecutive games and are winning in this spot by 33.7 ppg. Take Clemson!
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1995, 1 point favs, pick'ems or underdogs that just had 2 or fewer turnovers last game are 57-28-3 67.1% ATS against a team off of a game with a 3 point or worse turnover margin (regular season). -- Active this week on the Panthers
The Ravens are 14-0 ATS (+8.79 ppg) on the road off a win as a favorite in which their opponent scored first.The Steelers are 8-33-1 OU (-5.24 ppg) since Dec 14, 2014 on the road.The Titans are 0-13 ATS (-8.73 ppg) on grass when they are off a TD=plus win and they are playing a team with a worse record.The Jets are 0-14 ATS (-11.93 ppg) when they are off a loss and averaging more than 24 points per game over their last three games.The Lions are 0-16 ATS (-6.31 ppg) on the road vs a divisional opponent after a game in which they converted at least five third downs and had at least ten first downs through the air.
It has taken all season, but the buy sign is finally on the Spurs. Gregg Popovich has his youngest team ever. It's taken the Spurs a quarter of the season to get going, but they have defeated both the Clippers and Rockets in two of their last three games. Those are two of the top six teams in the NBA. Sacramento has been overachieving. But the Kings could be hitting a rough patch as they continue to miss their second-leading scorer, De'Aaron Fox, and top big man Marvin Bagley III. They also might be without Bogdan Bogdanovic, their top reserve. The Kings rank 26th in scoring. San Antonio outscores Sacramento by nearly eight points a game. The spot lays out well, too, for San Antonio. The Spurs have been idle since Tuesday. Their next game isn't for six more days. Popovich should have the Spurs rested, primed and prepared for an all-out effort. It's an added bonus if LaMarcus Aldridge is able to play, but I still like San Antonio if he can't. The Spurs catch the Kings in action for a third time in five days. The Spurs also are in a rare triple-revenge spot as the Kings swept all three games last season. (Editor's note: Stephen Nover is winning huge in the NBA on a 23-9 run on his past 32 premium plays. Stephen also is beating the NHL for a fourth straight season and is on a 115-79-3 college football run. In addition to this free selection, Stephen has his NHL Game of the Year going today along with an NBA premium play and a play in the Oregon-Utah Pac-12 football title game.)
Pure Lock's FREE NBA play Friday 12-6-19
Minnesota +3 -103
Pure Lock has a TOP NBA play available on Friday on the
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Pure Lock has a TOP CBB play available on Friday on the
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The set-up: Two teams moving in opposite directions collide on Sunday afternoon and I believe those trends carry over again this weekend. Tennesse is now 7-5 after a hard-fought win over the Colts last week. The Raiders are now 6-6 after back-to-back losses, including getting routed by the Chiefs last time out. Oakland is having plenty of issues across the board, not just in one area. The Titans on the other hand made the difficult choice to bench longtime starting QB Marcus Mariota for Ryan Tannehill a couple of weeks ago, but the move has paid major dividends with the ex Miami QB being the difference in the "up tick" in play of late.
The pick: Note as well that the Titans are a perfect 3-0 ATS year off a road win against a division rival, while the Raiders are 0-3 ATS in their last three off a road loss vs. a division rival. The play on the field and the contrasting ATS stats listed above do indeed make Tennessee the correct call here in my opinion. But what about you?! Does Tannehill keep it rolling, or does Jon Gruden get the "ship righted" in Raider-Nation?!
1* FREE PLAY on Tennessee.
I was 5-3 yesterday but two of the losses came from these teams. The Rangers beat me, as I took Columbus against them. And, I backed Montreal in its loss to Colorado. Hindsight being 20-20, I was a day too early. Today was the day to support the Habs while fading the Rangers. NY already scored the road win at Montreal, so the Canadiens are going to be hungry to get some payback. They won their last visit here (4-2 last March) and I like them to find away to get it done again. At roughly a pick'em price, consider Montreal.
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1* Free Pick on Nuggets +3½ -105
Friday CBB Free play. My selection is on Alabama minus the points over Stephen F. Austin at 8 pm et on Friday.
The Lumberjacks face their first true test since registering a stunning upset of Duke last week. I don't expect them to fare particularly well as they go on the road to face Alabama. The Crimson Tide check in with a 3-4 overall record but their losses all came against quality opponents in Penn State, Rhode Island, North Carolina and Iowa State. They're coming off one of their best efforts of the season as they defeated Southern Miss by 15 points last time out. Meanwhile, SFA is off a beatdown of little-known Arlington Baptist College. There's no question the Lumberjacks are a quality team that we'll likely be hearing a lot more about down the road this season. I just don't see this as a favorable spot as a double-digit road underdog against what will be a highly-motivated Tide squad. Take Alabama (8*).
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10* FREE NBA PICK (Clippers +3.5)
I'll take my chances here with the Clippers as a road dog against the Bucks. Milwaukee is a great team and this might seem like a short number to lay with them at home, but I like the Clippers to win this game outright. LA will be out for revenge from a 129-124 home loss to the Bucks a month a go. They only lost by 5 in the first meeting without Kawhi Leonard or Paul George. Giannis also had a monster game with 38 points. I just think we LA is 100% locked into a game there's not much teams can do. In my opinion they are right there with the Lakers as the most talented team in the league. Clippers are 32-19 ATS over the last 2 seasons when revening a loss. Give me Los Angeles +3.5!
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Free Total Annihilator On Pittsburgh vs Louisville over 126½ -110
1* on Nuggets +3½ -105
Mikey Sports FREE NBA play Friday 12-6-19
Golden State +4 1/2 -107
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R&R Totals FREE NBA Over-Under Friday 12-6-19
OVER 224 LA Lakers/Portland
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My free play is on the LA Clippers at 10:35 ET.
The Milwaukee Bucks had the NBA's best regular season record last season but lost in the Eastern Conference Finals to the Kawhi-led Raptors, who then went on the capture Toronto's first-ever NBA title. Kawhi "took his talents" to LA to play with the Clippers (joined by Paul George) and it's those 16-6 Clippers who will visit Milwaukee tonight with the challenge of 'cooling off' the white-hot Milwaukee Bucks. The Clippers enter having won NINE of their last 10 but the 19-3 Bucks (tied with the Lakers of the NBA's best record at 19-3), will take the court on a 13-game winning streak, the franchise's longest since winning 16 in a row in a stretch that spanned the end of the 1972-73 season and the beginning of the 1973-74 campaign
The Clippers are coming in off an easy 117-97 home win over the Portland Trail Blazers on Tuesday, despite Leonard scoring just 11 points on 3-of-15 shooting. Leonard (25.0-7.9-6.3) and George (23.5-6.1-7.5) are also two of the NB's best defensive players plus NO team in the league can match LA, which brings both guard Williams (21.1 & 6.3 APG) and PF Harrell (19.1 & 8.0) off the bench. It was Harrell (26 points on 11-of-13 shooting) and Paul George (25 while knocking down 6-of-7 three-pointers), who led the way against the Blazers.
Giannis Antetokounmpo is the league's reigning MVP and at the moment, it would be hard to argue against him winning it again this season. The "Greek Freak: is averaging 31.7-13.3-5.8 on 56.5% shooting. Now that SF Middleton (17.4 & 5.5) is back after missing a little more than two weeks, Milwaukee's starting rotation also includes center Lopez (10.4 & 5.0) plus guard Bledsoe (15.7-5.1-5.6) and Matthews (8.3). Support off the bench comes from as many as EIGHT-NINE players!
These teams met back on Nov 6 in Los Angeles, when two-time NBA Finals MVP Kawhi Leonard sat out. Antetokounmpo dominated the Clippers in that one, with 38 points, 16 rebounds and nine assists in a 129-124 win. Leonard was out on “load management”detail in that first meeting but LA has been off since Tuesday, so there is NO reason Leonard won't be ready for the rematch. Of course, let's also note that George had yet to return to the court for the Clippers in that contest, either. "All hands are on deck" for LA this time around and even Milwaukee has to lose sometime, right? This is as good a spot as any. Take the points.
1 Dimer on Nuggets vs Celtics over 204 -105
Jack’s Free Pick Friday: Oklahoma City Thunder -3.5
I like the value we are getting on the Oklahoma City Thunder as short home favorites against the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight. The Thunder have won three of their last five coming in and have been very competitive in losses to the Lakers and Clippers here recently.
The Timberwolves have lost two straight. They were upset at home by Memphis as 12-point favorites and lost on the road against a Mavericks team playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and failed to cover as 5.5-point dogs. Now the Timberwolves are dealing with some injuries right now.
Andrew Wiggins is very questionable to play tonight with a thumb injury. Karl-Anthony Towns is expected to play through a knee injury. And Jake Layman is out Friday with a shoulder injury. Things won’t get better for the Timberwolves until they get healthy.
The Thunder are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss. Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in tis last five home games. The Thunder are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a favorite of 0.5 to 4.5 points. Minnesota is 5-15 ATS in road games after a combined score of 235 or more points over the last three seasons. Bet the Thunder Friday.
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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Detroit Pistons +2
I like getting the Pistons as home underdogs tonight to the Indiana Pacers. The Pistons blew out the Spurs by 34 points in their last home game before going on the road and winning at Cleveland by 33. They were playing for a second consecutive night last time out against the Bucks and predictably got blown out. Look for them to come back home tonight and take down the Pacers. The home team has won six of the last eight meetings. The Pistons are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings with the Pacers. The Pacers will be playing their 4th straight road game in a tough spot tonight playing their 5th game in 8 days. Give me the Pistons.
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Dave’s Friday Free Play:
1* on San Antonio Spurs -4.5
The Key: The San Antonio Spurs just won their last 2 home games against 2 of the best teams in the NBA in the Clippers and Rockets. And now they’ve had 2 days off and should handle the Sacramento Kings. The Kings have lost 4 of their last 5 and are dealing with some injuries right now. Fox and Bagley are out, and Bogdanovic and Joseph are questionable. The Spurs have won 34 of their last 44 home meetings with the Kings. Take San Antonio.
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