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Today’s Free Winning ATS Sports Picks from Top Vegas Handicappers
1* Free Pick on Padres +115
1 Dimer on Padres -103
Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: Seattle Mariners +125
The Seattle Mariners have won three straight to stay alive in the AL wild card race. That includes the first two games of this series as underdogs to the Oakland A's. They should not be underdogs again today.
Chris Flexen is one of the most underrated starters in baseball. He is gone 12-6 with a 3.66 ERA and 1.263 WHIP in 28 starts this season. The Mariners have gone 19-9 (+14 Units) in Flexen's 28 starts. He is 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA in his last two starts against the A's, allowing just 3 earned runs in 12 innings.
Cole Irvin is 10-13 with a 3.94 ERA and 1.290 WHIP in 29 starts this season, including 1-1 with a 5.87 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in his last three starts. Irvin has never beaten the Mariners, going 0-3 with an 8.48 ERA and 2.228 WHIP in three career starts against them. All three starts have come in 2021 where he has allowed 11 earned runs and 26 base runners in 11 2/3 innings.
The Mariners are 7-0 in their last seven meetings with the A's. The A's are 0-4 in their last four home games. Seattle is 9-1 (+8.6 Units) in Flexen's 10 starts with a line of -125 to +125 this season. The Mariners are 10-3 (+10.5 Units) in Flexen's 13 road starts. Bet the Mariners Wednesday.
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Dave's Wednesday Free Play:
1* on Braves/Diamondbacks OVER 9
The Key: Two struggling starting pitchers square off tonight in Arizona. Ian Anderson is 1-0 in spite of a 6.58 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in his last 3 starts for the Braves. Merrill Kelly is 0-2 with an 8.38 ERA in his last 2 starts while yielding 9 earned runs, 3 HR's and 24 base runners in 9 2/3 innings. The OVER is 15-5-1 in the last 21 matchups in Arizona. The OVER is 12-4-1 in Diamondbacks last 17 games overall. Take the OVER.
1* on Brewers -116
R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Wednesday 9-22-21
OVER 9 Atlanta/Arizona (Anderson/Kelly) Listed
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1* MLB - Giants/Padres FREE PICK on Giants -103
Wednesday's Free MLB Pick is on the San Francisco Giants as a -103 road favorite against the San Diego Padres. I just don't get why the books keep giving this Padres team love. San Diego is in a huge free fall in September. They have lost 9 of their last 11 games and are coming off a crushing 5-6 loss to San Francisco on Tuesday, where they led 4-1 after 4 innings. You also got to factor in who the Padres have on the mound. Vincent Velasquez will get the ball and he just gave up 4 runs in 4 innings (2 HR) in his first start since late July. Bet the Giants -103!
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1* FREE INFO PLAY on Nashville SC +150
My free play is on the Chi Cubs at 7:40 ET.
Two of 2021's most disappointing teams cap a brief two-game IL series Wednesday night at Wrigley Field. Both the Minnesota Twins (AL Central) and Chicago Cubs (NL Central) won their respective divisions in 2020 but the Twins take the field on Wednesday just 66-85, while the Cubs check in at 67-84. The Twins snapped a two-game losing streak Tuesday, collecting 16 hits in a 9-5 victory.
Wednesday's starters are Minnesota rookie Joe Ryan (1-1, 2.12 ERA) squaring off against Chicago's Kyle Hendricks (14-6, 4.81 ERA). Ryan lost his major league debut to the visiting Cubs back on Sep 1, allowing three runs and three hits in five innings, Ryan has then limited the Cleveland Indians to one run and four hits over 12 innings over his past two starts. Hendricks' 4.81 ERA is 1 1/2-runs higher than his career mark of 3.36 but he's been able to post 14 victories, just two wins shy of his career-best total of 2016. Hendricks went 16-8 with a 2.13 ERA in 2016, the year the Cubs finally won a World Series for the first time since 1908!
Hendricks has struggled at Wrigley Field in 2021, going 6-4 with a 5.28 ERA, while allowing 17 HRs in 87 innings. He hasn't earned a victory at home since July 9 but this is likely to be his final home start of the season. Cubs Win! Cubs Win!
The Cubs ace, Hendricks, is floundering, with only one decent start in 4 outings. In his last 7 starts he is 1-2 with an ERA of 9.08! The Cubs’ bullpen has been very poor and overused, so don’t look for them to bail him out. The Twins’ rookie, Joe Ryan, is just three starts into a MLB career, but has been solid so far. The Twins’ relievers have been better than average lately and their offense has been solid. The Cubs are 2-8, and very poor vs. right-handers. Take the rookie over the ace. Twins to win.
1* Free Pick on Red Sox -160
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Kansas City Royals -105
I'll back the better starter in this game today with Carlos Hernandez of the Royals over Logan Allen of the Indians. Hernandez is 5-2 with a 3.71 ERA in 10 starts this season. He has been at his best on the road at 3-0 with a 1.00 ERA in three starts away from home. Allen is 1-7 with a 7.31 ERA in 11 starts this season. The Royals are 17-8 in their last 25 games against left-handed starters. The Indians are 6-20 in their last 26 games as home underdogs. Cleveland is 0-7 in its last seven home games against a right-handed starter. Give me the Royals.
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1* Free Sharp Play on Dodgers -185
The Dodgers (-185) are worth a look as a huge road favorite against the Rockies in Wednesday's MLB action. Colorado has been great at home and Marquez has pitched well at Coors, but LA is winning this game. The Dodgers are completely locked in down the stretch and have one of the best starters in baseball going in Walker Buehler. Look for that LA offense to show out in this one. Play the Dodgers -185!
Dodgers vs Rockies Free Pick September 22, 2021
Coors Field can be a scary place for betting unders, but note that the under is 10-3 in Rockies last 13 games as a home underdog and 22-10 in their last 32 home games overall.
Dodgers' right-hander Walker Buehler (14-4, 2.39 ERA) has a 3.88 ERA in 18 career outings (14 starts) against Colorado, and he has posted a 2.77 ERA in two starts in Denver this season. Rockies ace German Marquez (12-10, 4.16 ERA) owns a 2.52 ERA in 10 career starts against the Dodgers.
Free pick on UNDER.
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Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #368 Florida State Seminoles over Louisville Cardinals (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 25 ESPN2) Just do not feel Louisville should be favored against anyone in the ACC when they are playing on the road. The Cardinals had a late turnover to beat UCF last week but I do not expect that same magic in Tallahassee this Saturday. Florida State has been awful thus far in 2021 but Louisville in not on the same level as Notre Dame or Wake Forest. Louisville is 8-20 ATS (1 push) in their last 29 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games between Louisville and Florida State. Look for the Seminoles to bounce back this week and win this game straight-up. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend football card. It will feature our first Game of the Year play of the season and a must have for any big game hunter. Receive our full card with a one-week football package.
Pure Lock's FREE MLB play Wednesday 9-22-21
Seattle +126 (Flexen/Irvin) Listed
Pure Lock has a TOP MLB play available on Wednesday on the Pirates/Reds. Pure Lock is mainly known for his selectivity in handicapping all sports and normally releases one pick per sport per day or passes! QUALITY over Quantity here. Currently on an impressive 32-18 (64%) run over his last 51 MLB picks! $1,000 per game players have CASHED $11,760 since August 02, 2021!
Pure Lock has a TOP CFL play available on Wednesday on the Hamilton/Ottawa. Pure Lock is mainly known for his selectivity in handicapping all sports and normally releases one pick per sport per day or passes! QUALITY over Quantity here. Currently on an impressive 46-29 (61%) run over his last 77 OVERALL picks! $1,000 per game players have CASHED $12,880 since August 02, 2021!
Pure Lock has a TOP NCAAFB play available on Saturday on the UMass/Coastal Carolina. Pure Lock is mainly known for his selectivity in handicapping all sports and normally releases one pick per sport per day or passes! QUALITY over Quantity here. Currently on an impressive 46-29 (61%) run over his last 77 OVERALL picks! $1,000 per game players have CASHED $12,880 since August 02, 2021!
Pure Lock has a TOP NFL play available on Sunday on the Ravens/Lions. Pure Lock is mainly known for his selectivity in handicapping all sports and normally releases one pick per sport per day or passes! QUALITY over Quantity here. Currently on an impressive 46-29 (61%) run over his last 77 OVERALL picks! $1,000 per game players have CASHED $12,880 since August 02, 2021!
[1%] Free Play on A's under 8½
1* Free Play on New York City FC +125
Real Sociedad 1
The free soccer play takes place on Friday in Spain.
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Small market. Late start times. No marquee stars. These are among the reasons why the Mariners don't get the respect they deserve. All the Mariners have done is go 82-69. They have a winning road mark and have earned more money for bettors than any team in the American League. This is the third of a four-game series between Seattle and Oakland. The Mariners have been 'dogs the first two games - and won them both. Now they are underdogs again. Since the All-Star break the Mariners have beaten the A's seven of eight times. I'm compelled to ride Seattle in another underdog role here. Oakland was 6-3 in its previous nine games heading into this series. However, the A's had compiled that record against the Rangers, Royals and Angels. Those three teams are a combined 62 games below .500. It can be tough to play at Oakland Coliseum. But the A's are drawing small crowds and Seattle is used to playing in a pitcher's park. So the A's don't hold the home advantage they should in this matchup. The pitching matchup is Chris Flexen (12-6 with a 3.66 ERA) versus Cole Irvin (10-13, 3.94 ERA). But this is an action play for me.
FREE PICK - Colorado Rockies +192
We cashed a big pay day with our free pick on the Cardinals (+196) yesterday. I got another big dog that I think has some serious bit on Wednesday. The Rockies are sitting at +192 at home against the Dodgers. I know LA is playing great and are the only team with something to play for, but this Rockies team is fiesty at Coors Field and will definitely be up for this series.
Dodgers will have Walker Buehler on the mound. No question, he's been one of the best starters in baseball this year, but I think he's feeling the pressure of winning that Cy Young award. His new teammate, Max Scherzer, has all but stole it from him. He's got an ugly 6.19 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in his last 3 starts. With how much he's pressing and how tough it is to pitch at Coors Field, I think he could struggle here.
One guy that has figured out how to pitch effectively at Coors Field, at least for this season, is Rockies starter German Marquez. He's 8-2 with a 3.16 ERA and 1.096 WHIP in 16 home starts. Colorado has a 13-3 team record in those 16 starts. Marquez has not been intimidated by LA, as he has a 2.52 ERA and 1.088 WHIP in 10 career starts vs the Dodgers. Give me the Rockies +192!
This is a free play on Colorado.
The Rockies have won seven of their last 10 overall, and they have won more games at home than the Dodgers have won on the road.
German Marquez will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's been really solid at Coors Field. He's 8-2 with a 3.16 ERA in 16 home starts.
The Dodgers hand the ball to Walker Buehler, who has lost two of his last three starts. He allowed three runs on six hits and two walks in six innings in a loss to the Reds his last time out.
The Rockies are 4-1 in their last five games versus a right-handed starter.
Wednesday MLB Free play. My selection is on the 'over' between Baltimore and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday.
We saw a low-scoring extra innings game between these two teams last night. In fact, the first two games in this series have produced just seven runs in 19 innings. I look for a different story to unfold on Wednesday, however. Keegan Akin mercifully gets trotted out for another start for the Orioles. He's been awful regardless where he has pitched this season but has been particularly bad on the road, posting a 8.64 ERA and 1.94 WHIP in 10 starts. He's averaging just over four innings per start on the road and that's a major concern as the Orioles bullpen continues to struggle having recorded a collective 4.60 ERA and 1.34 WHIP with three blown saves over their last seven games. Note that the 'over' is 26-11 with the Phillies coming off two or more consecutive 'under' results over the last three seasons with those games averaging a total of 10.7 runs. The 'over' is also 43-24 when the Orioles come off consecutive games in which they scored three runs or less over the last two seasons, as is the case here, with that situation producing an average total of 11.2 runs. While Zack Wheeler has been terrific for the Phillies this season, it's worth noting that they're giving up an average of 5.5 runs per game after allowing two runs or less this season with that situation coming up 37 times previously, good for an average total of 9.3 runs in that spot. Wheeler will also be starting on just four days' rest for the second time in his last three turns in the rotation. Take the over.
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