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Today’s Free Winning ATS Sports Picks from Top Vegas Handicappers
Philadelphia vs. Detroit Under 6
After playing to a 6-5 overtime game Saturday, these two teams flip the script and meet in Detroit. The Under is worth a flyer here as these two teams will play a much tighter game.
Look for sloppy play for starters, given the fatigue and quick turnaround. On top of that, we should see both sides find a lot of familiarities with their opponent, given haven just seen them play 24 hours ago. Knowing the style of play and what they want to do on the offensive end will go a long way in slowing things down.
Back the Under.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
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Sunday card has our executive Level Tier 1 NCAAB Play and the Highest rated Missouri Valley Conference play. ACC Comp Play below.
The ACC Comp play is on Miami at 6:00 eastern. The Canes apply to a solid 74% system here tonight and they have covered the last 4 vs winning teams and 4 of 5 off a spread win. Boston College has failed to cover 8 of 10 and 6 of 7 as a home favorite, as well as 4 of 5 vs losing teams. Miami has a better RPI Rank and has played the 11th toughest schedule in the country, Make it Miami. On Sunday the TIER 1 NCAAB Play headlines the card along with our highest rated Missouri Valley Conference play, NHL and an All star play in the NBA. Jump on now and end the week big. For the Free pick. Play on Miami, Rob V- Golden Contender Sports
10* FREE NCAAB PICK (Villanova -4)
I'll take my chances here with Villanova as a small road favorite against the Red Storm. I'm not sure why people aren't giving this Wildcats team more love than they are. Sure this might not be as talented as Villanova team as previous years, but they are clearly the best team in the Big East. Villanova is 11-1 in conference play, but the even more impressive stat is their 9-3 ATS record.
I get that St John's is a good team and winning on the road is not easy in conference play, especially in the Power 5 leagues. However, Villanova is 8-3 away from home with a 9-2 ATS record. I'm not saying it's a lock they win here, I just don't know how you bet on them to lose, which is basically what you are doing taking St John's at +4.
Villanova has gone 37-16 ATS last 53 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games, so the better the competition the better bet they become. That includes an 8-2 ATS record this season. Give me the Wildcats -4!
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1* Free NCAAB Pick on Colorado Buffaloes -4.5
I got no problem laying the small number with Colorado at home against the Wildcats. I just think the books continue to give this Arizona team way too much respect and a lot of that likely has to do with their name and the elite status of their program.
The Wildcats come in having lost and failed to cover in each of their last 6 games, yet they are right around a pick'em on the road against a red-hot Colorado team that has won 4 straight, beating Oregon at home, winning back-to-back at UCLA and at USC and then most recently knocking of ASU at home. Not to mention the CU Events Center is no easy place to win due to the thin air of Colorado. Arizona is also playing on just 2 days rest after playing at Utah on Thursday.
Wildcats are 0-4 ATS last 4 road games vs a team with a winning home record and are 1-7 ATS this season when listed as an underdog. Buffaloes are 12-4 ATS last 16 at home vs a team with a losing road record. Take Colorado!
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Free Play on St. John's +4½ -115
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When our game analysis is missing on a given day it's usually that we have a heavy work
load from the research standpoint. We can't avoid that issue because the handicap is what
produces winners. Also, we have now eliminated overnight selections as we are on a late
season schedule. This gives us time to assess the opening early numbers with the public
betting trends noted as part of our research. Good Luck, Brad Diamond Sports.
The free soccer play takes place in France on Wednesday. We won a recent soccer pick on the Toulouse match to draw at +205, which also took place in France.
Be sure to check out our PREMIUM Picks for $19.99.
I’m playing on the under Flyers/Wings (FREE PLAY). I think goals will be hard to come by in this one. This is the second game of a home and home set between the clubs and while the first one resulted in a wild 6-5 OT win for Philadelphia, I think the writing is on the wall and much more defensive affair is in store this evening. Philly is still only 12-16 on the road, averaging 2.89 goals and conceding 3.57. Thankfully it faces the Wings today, who are just 12-17 at home, averaging 2.83 goals and allowing 2.90 in those contests. Philadelphia has seen the total dip under in 16 of its last 25 vs. teams with losing records, while Detroit has seen the total go under in 15 of its last 21 in the same position. This number is high, consider the “under” in this one.
My 1* Free Play is on Colorado (8:00 EST).
These two teams are moving in opposite directions and I believe those trends continue here.
Arizona got off to a 4-0 Pac-12 start, including a 64-56 win over Colorado on Jan 3. However, Wildcats are 1-7 since (0-6 SU & ATS since beating Ore St on Jan 19). It's Arizona's longest losing streak in 35 years. Meanwhile, Colorado has won four straight, the school's longest winning streak in conference play since 2005-06, when they were members of the Big 1. Colorado is 9-2 SU at home, outscoring opponents 82.7-69.3 PPG.
This one has “blowout” written all over it. Consider the hot home side in the revenge situation.
R&R Totals FREE NHL Over-Under Sunday 2-17-19
UNDER 6 -105 Philadelphia/Detroit
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1* on Miami-FL -1½ -110
Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: St. John’s +4
St. John’s could certainly use a signature win over Villanova today to boost their case to make the NCAA Tournament. The Red Storm do have two wins over Marquette this season, but they are still just 6-6 in Big East play and on shaky ground.
St. John’s nearly beat Villanova already, only losing 71-76 as 6.5-point road dogs. Now they are catching 4 points at home in the rematch, and when you adjust for home-court advantage, this line should be closer to a pick ‘em. I expect the Red Storm to win this game outright, but we’ll take the points for added insurance.
That was just one of the many close games between these teams in recent meetings. St. John’s only lost by 7 at home and actually won by 4 on the road against Villanova last year, which was a Wildcats team that went on to win the national championship. The Red Storm are much improved from last year, while the Wildcats aren’t nearly as strong.
St. John’s is 13-3 ATS in home games after playing a home game over the last three seasons. The Red Storm are winning by 13.4 points per game on average in this spot. The Red Storm are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Bet St. John’s Sunday.
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Free Play on Arizona +6 -115