Golden Contender (Rob Vinciletti)

The Braves have won by more than 1 run in 18 of their last 20 road favored win and we note that road favorites of more than 150 off a road dog loss where they allowed 10+ runs are perfect since 2004 vs a team off a loss. Minor for the the Reds has been a disaster so far while Fried has been solid for the Braves. The Reds Have lost by more than 1 run in 16 of their last 17 home dog losses. Look for Atlanta to cover.

14-0 N.L. West Play on Colorado at 6:10 eastern. The Rockies fit the opening game of a divisional series system below that pertains to their home dog loss despite 10+ hits and the previous home dog win. The Rockies are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. National League West and 22-8 in their last 30 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. The Diamondbacks are 1-6 in their last 7 when their opponent allowed 5+ runs or more in their last game and have lost 7 of 8 here in Colorado. The Rockies have won 3 of 4 at home with Sentazela. Kelly for Arizona has lost 2 of 3 here and has a better Era in Day games than he does at night. Play on Colorado.

SU: 14-0-0

Team: 6.29

Opp: 3.43

Jul 30, 2004 Link Fri 2004 home Brewers Doug Davis Pirates Sean Burnett -115 8.0 9 7-6 1-1 5-0 -3.0 U 5 W 5-0

Sep 13, 2004 Link Mon 2004 home Cubs Greg Maddux Pirates Frank Brooks -300 9.0 9 7-8 0-3 7-2 0.0 P 5 W 7-2

Apr 20, 2005 Link Wed 2005 home Reds Paul Wilson Pirates Oliver Perez -115 9 9 11-12 0-0 6-4 1 O 2 W 6-4

Sep 26, 2005 Link Mon 2005 home Brewers Tomo Ohka Reds Ramon Ortiz -150 9.5 9 15-9 1-0 12-9 11.5 O 3 W 12-9

May 08, 2007 Link Tue 2007 home Orioles Jeremy Guthrie Rays Jae Seo -135 10 9 13-11 0-0 8-3 1 O 5 W 8-3

Jul 02, 2010 Link Fri 2010 home Red Sox Tim Wakefield Orioles Bradley Bergesen -230 10 9 6-7 0-1 3-2 -5 U 1 W 3-2

Jun 03, 2014 Link Tue 2014 home Nationals Jordan Zimmermann Phillies David Buchanan -210 8.0 9 10-6 0-2 7-0 -1.0 U 7 W 7-0

Jul 01, 2014 Link Tue 2014 home Marlins Henderson Alvarez Phillies AJ Burnett -150 7.5 10 9-9 1-0 5-4 1.5 O 1 W 5-4

Aug 31, 2015 Link Mon 2015 home Dodgers Brett Anderson Giants Jake Peavy -141 7.5 10 12-13 0-0 5-4 1.5 O 1 W 5-4

Apr 25, 2016 Link Mon 2016 home Giants Madison Bumgarner Padres Drew Pomeranz -180 6.5 9 12-11 0-0 5-4 2.5 O 1 W 5-4

Apr 24, 2017 Link Mon 2017 home Diamondbacks Zack Greinke Padres Jhoulys Chacin -158 9.0 9 10-10 1-1 7-6 4.0 O 1 W 7-6

Sep 15, 2017 Link Fri 2017 home Angels Bud Norris Rangers Nick Martinez -205 9.0 9 9-8 0-0 7-6 4.0 O 1 W 7-6

Sep 03, 2021 Link Fri 2021 home Angels Shohei Ohtani Rangers Glenn Otto -178 7.5 9 10-8 0-1 3-2 -2.5 U 1 W 3-2

May 16, 2022 Link Mon 2022 home Marlins Sandy Alcantara Nationals Aaron Sanchez -190.0 8 9 16-5 1-2 8-2 2 O 6 W 8-2

Jul 01, 2022 Link Fri 2022 home Rockies Antonio Senzatela Diamondbacks Merrill Kelly -120.0 11.5 0

The Interleague Banger is on the NY. Mets at 7:10 eastern. The Mets have lost 3 straight for the first time this season. However they are 26-8 with rest, and 20-6 in game 1 of a series. They have Texas coming in and we note that Non division home favorites off a home dog loss where they had less than 4 hits are PERFECT Since 2004 vs a team off a road loss that scored 1 or more runs if the total is more than 6. The Mets have Bassit going and he is 3-0 at home vs Texas allowing 1 or less in all 3 starts. Ottor for the Rangers has a 5+ era/ Texas is 1--8 in road games vs winning National league teams and has dropped 39 of 52 with rest. Make it the Mets