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Free picks
Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: Rockies/Rangers OVER 9
Two of my favorite starting pitchers to fade square off in what should be a slug fest between the Rockies and Rangers tonight. Two offenses that have been held in check thus far this season should break out in this one.
Antonio Senzatela is 1-6 with a 5.77 ERA and 1.92 WHIP in eight starts this season with just 19 K's in 39 innings. Senzatela has allowed 12 earned runs, 4 homers and 28 base runners in 14 2/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.
Patrick Corbin made at least 31 starts while posting a 5.20 ERA or worse in each of his last four seasons in Washington. Corbin is very fortunate to have a 3.13 ERA in his six starts with a 1.39 WHIP and just 20 K's in 31 2/3 innings in his first season in Texas. Regression will hit him hard soon. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Match Up | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rays vs Blue Jays | OVER 8 +100 | Free | 11-9 | Win | 100 | Show |
Yankees vs Mariners | Yankees -135 | Premium | 1-2 | Loss | -135 | Show |
Diamondbacks vs Giants | Giants -102 | Premium | 6-10 | Win | 100 | Show |
Diamondbacks vs Giants | OVER 7½ -110 | Premium | 6-10 | Win | 100 | Show |
Yankees vs Mariners | OVER 7 -110 | Top Premium | 1-2 | Loss | -110 | Show |
Marlins vs Cubs | OVER 8 -105 | Premium | 4-5 | Win | 100 | Show |
A's vs Dodgers | OVER 9½ +105 | Top Premium | 11-1 | Win | 105 | Show |
Nuggets vs Thunder | Thunder -9½ -110 | Top Premium | 105-112 | Loss | -110 | Show |
PICKS IN PROGRESS
15* AL Wednesday Early Afternoon ANNIHILATOR on Yankees/Mariners OVER 7.5
The Yankees rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.9 runs per game this season. They have scored a total of 57 runs in their last seven games for an average of 8.1 runs per game. They are capable of covering this total on their own. But the Mariners are improved offensively this season scoring 4.9 runs per game which ranks 7th in baseball.
The Yankees are 5-2 OVER in their last seven games overall with 12 or more combined runs in five of those seven games. The Mariners are 17-4 OVER in their last 21 games overall with 8 or more combined runs in 18 of those 21 games, including 9 or more combined runs in 16 of them.
Will Warren is 2-2 with a 4.75 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in eight starts for the Yankees this season. Warren is 2-5 with a 6.90 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in his career allowing 45 earned runs and 9 homers in 58 2/3 innings.
Luis Castillo has struggled this season going 3-3 with a 3.95 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in eight starts. Castillo has allowed 15 earned runs in 26 1/3 innings in his last five starts for a 5.13 ERA. He has allowed 5 earned runs, 4 homers and 18 base runners in 10 innings in his last two starts against the Yankees as well. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.
20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Diamondbacks/Giants OVER 8
The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Diamondbacks and Giants today. There will be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center in San Francisco this afternoon. These teams combined for 17 hits in Game 1 but got nothing out of it in a 2-1 final. They came back for 24 hits in Game 2 with a 10-6 final and 16 combined runs yesterday.
The Diamondbacks rank 5th in baseball scoring 5.0 runs per game while the Giants rank 10th scoring 4.7 runs per game with a much improved offense this season. The OVER is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those 10 meetings.
Eduardo Rodriquez has been a dumpster fire for the Diamondbacks, allowing 21 earned runs and 6 homers in 18 2/3 innings in his last four starts coming in. Rodriquez allowed 5 earned runs and 3 homers in 4 2/3 innings in his last start against the Giants.
Jordan Hicks hasn't been much better for the Giants. Hicks has allowed 25 earned runs in 32 innings in his last six starts coming in. He allowed 2 earned runs and 10 base runners in 3 2/3 innings of a 9-3 win over the Diamondbacks in his last start against them. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.
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