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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
PICKS IN PROGRESS
We have two starting pitchers who are operating at the opposite end of the performance spectrum entering this tilt. The Rangers starter Heaney is just 1-1 but has allowed just two earned in 15.1 innings of top tier work. Meanwhile the Blue Jays starter Kikuchi, has given up 11 earned runs over his last 9.2 innings of very sub par work. Toronto has lost in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas and my projections estimate they have a high probability of losing here again .Texas is 5-0 on the ML in its last 5 games and have momentum and the pitching edge here today.The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 32% ROI).
Play on Texas
Luis Ortiz is ecpected to toe the rubber for the Pittsburgh Pirates this Friday against Arizona ,He currently owns a 5-2 record along with a stingy 2.57 ERA his season. Ortiz has allowed 14 hits and 2 runs in his last 20.2 innings of top tier work and has recorded a 2.31 ERA and .229 allowed batting average in 35 road innings in 2024. Meanwhile, the Dbaks will send Zac Gallen tp the hill . He owns a 7-5 record along with a stable 3.64 ERA on the campaign.Gallen has a 3.35 ERA and .246 allowed batting average in 45.2 home innings and in his career vs the Pirates owns a 3.04 ERA My projections estimate these hurlers will go long and strong here today in what could end up in a pitchers duel.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 10 games on the road
The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 56 of their last 96 games (+11.20 Units / 10% ROI)
Play under
The Red Sox will hand the ball to Brayan Bello (10-5, 5.27 ERA). He's had a fortunate campaign as compared to his overall metrics and does not matchup well here vs the Yankees offense according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings . Meanwhile, the Yankees starter Nestor Cortes (4-9, 3.99) has lost back-to-back starts as he goers to the hill at Fenway Park tonight. The left-hander allowed six runs on eight hits in 4 1/3 innings last Saturday against the Rays.Cortes is 2-0 with a 4.89 ERA in 11 career appearances (five starts) against Boston. With that said, Im expecting these two strong offenses to tee off on each other here tonight, and for the Green Monster to see alot of action.
The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 58 games (+10.80 Units / 17% ROI)The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 47 games (+15.15 Units / 29% ROI)The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 gamesThe total has gone OVER in 10 of NY Yankees's last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games.
Play over
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