Alex Smart

Darvish the Cubs starter is 1-0 with a 0.73 ERA in two career starts against the Phillies and gets the nod and my support in this spot situation.Meanwhile, Phillies starter Arrieta got off to a solid start this season and was 3-1 with a 2.25 ERA after four outings, but has dropped his past two starts and is winless since April 27. Note: Phillies are 0-4 in Arrietas last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Phillies are 4-9 in their last 13 vs. National League Central.Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series.

Phillies are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago.

CHICAGO CUBS are 17-6 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.CHICAGO CUBS are 21-7 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher this season.

Cubs are 9-1 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Cubs are 11-2 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning record.Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.

The Phillies are 0-17 L/17 on the ML in the first game of a series with no rest off a game as a favorite in which they left 18+ men on base.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the ML

Oakland southpaw  starting hurler Anderson,  owns a 3-0 mark with an 0.82 ERA and 0.76 WHIP in five career encounters with Cleveland. The trio of Lindor, Santana and Kipnis are a combined 0-for-7 against Anderson. According to my power ranking pitcher vs batting order projections, Anderson still matches up well vs this group and gets my support here tonight vs the Tribe. I know his pitching opponent Carrasco has a streak of 12 consecutive scoreless innings on the line, but it must be noted that the Indians hurler, is  1-5  against the money line in home games after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) 

OAKLAND is 31-9  against the money line against AL Central opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Play on the Athletics on the ML

Western Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 4 - GSW Leads 3-0

In my betting opinion there is only one way that Portland can possibly steal at least one game in this series, and that is going balls to the walls with all out offensive attack. They have shown their ability to run and gun with the Warriors in the first half of the last two games, before looking fatigued late and eventually capitulating . Now down 3-0 in this series and in desperation mode, Im expecting the Blazers to leave everything on the floor, and to squeeze every last bit of energy they have into this game. This projected  scenario Im betting leads to a high scoring game, that eclipses this total.

PORTLAND is 8-0 OVER  off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite over the last 3 seasons with a combined average score of 237.3 ppg scored.PORTLAND is 12-1 OVER  in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 239.7 ppg scored.

Play OVER

Diamondbacks RH Luke Weaver (3-2, 3.16 ERA) vs. Padres RH Chris Paddack (3-2, 1.99)

Weaver has recorded three straight quality starts, going 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 19 strikeouts in 20 innings and has been a road warrior for the D-backs this year, going 3-0 with a 0.98 ERA in his last three starts away from Chase Field. In four career starts against the Padres, he is 2-2 with a 2.28 ERA. Meanwhile, the Fathers starter Paddack's ERA sits below 2, and opponents have a .146 batting average against him, the lowest mark in the Majors. The young hurler owns a 49-to-11 strikeout-to-walk ratio over 45 1/3 innings in his first eight starts. The linesmakers expect a pitchers duel and Im on board, with a key number 7 offering value to the under according to my projections.

SAN DIEGO is 12-4 UNDER as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season with a combined average of 6.5 rpg scored. 

Under is 16-7-1 in Diamondbacks last 24 vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 5-0 in Paddacks last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.Under is 4-0 in Paddacks last 4 home starts.Under is 5-1 in Paddacks last 6 starts on grass.Under is 5-1 in Paddacks last 6 starts overall.

Play on UNDER 

The Mariners starter Leake's worst outing of the year came against the Rangers on April 27 when he allowed 10 hits and 9 runs (5 earned) in 5 innings in a 15-1 loss in Seattle and according to my cross reference pitching vs batting order power rankings does not matchup well vs Rangers. Meanwhile, Minor beat the Mariners, 15-1 in that above mentioned April 27 tilt, by holding them to one run in seven innings. He allowed three hits and struck out 13. Minor earned a victory  in his last start last Wednesday, when he allowed one run over five innings as the Rangers cruised past the Royals 6-1 and has momentum and confidence entering this tilt vs Seattle team that has the worst record in baseball since April 27 . He entered Sunday ranked among the AL's top 10 in both ERA and strikeouts (tied for 10th with 56).

SEATTLE is 1-13  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season.

TEXAS is 8-3 against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.

MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (SEATTLE) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 7 or more hits/start, starting a pitcher who walked 1 or less hitters each of his last 2 outings are 7-43 L/5 seasons for a 86% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Texas to win on the ML