Alex Smart

 Five of Niagara's nine wins have come at the Gallagher Center with victories over St. Bonaventure, New Hampshire, Cornell, Norfolk State, and Iona and this is where they play their best basketball. Meanwhile,   Saint Peter's is 0-9 on the road this season.

The Purple Eagles are 20-7 at home versus the Peacocks since the 1991-92 season.

•  Six of the last 10 meetings with Saint Peter's have been decided by less than five points with NU going 5-1 in those six games and they get the nod again on short line. Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

CBB Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (ST PETERS) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45-47.5%), after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse are 2-56 L/22 seasons for a 97% go against conversion rate. 

Play on Niagara to cover 

The Flashes improved to 14-4 overall and 3-2 in conference play as they defended home court in a 78-68 win over NIU last time out  and roll into this game against Toledo as viable home dogs. After all the Flashes have played their best hoops at home this season, where they are 9-2 SU and deserve respect getting points in this friendly environment, vs what my own rankings suggest is a very good but slightly over rated Rockets hoops group, that has some defensive short coming as is evident by allowing 77.1 ppg on the road this season. Kent State is 9-3 L/12 at home in this series, and get the nod here tonight to get the cover. Note:Senderoff is 7-0 ATS  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  80% or better ) after 15 or more games as the coach of KENT ST and overal lKENT ST is 13-2 ATS L/15 when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  80% or more) after 15 or more games since 1997. 

Play on Kent State to cover 

Portland enters this game  on tired legs after a back and forth teeter totter affair last night in a game they won by a 109-104 score over the Utah Jazz  in Salt Lake City. Now exhausted they will be in the precarious position of having to deal with a explosive Oklahoma City squad. Needless to say I doubt the Blazers will want to run and gun here, and will be out looking to play a more conservative brand of transitional basketball instead which will see very few fast breaks which in turn will directly skew the total combined score to the low side. Note:  The Trailblazers are 0-9 L/9 UNDER off a game as a dog that had at least eight lead changes going under by more than 16 ppg with the average combined score clicking in at 202.3 ppg. Also PORTLAND is 10-1 UNDER off a win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 208 ppg scored.

In Portlands L/32 games when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons a combined average of 219.1 ppg were scored.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-10 UNDER  when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 212.3 ppg scored. 

Under is 20-8 in Trail Blazers last 28 vs. Western Conference.Under is 20-8 in Trail Blazers last 28 vs. NBA Northwest.Under is 5-1 in Trail Blazers last 6 road games.

Under is 4-1 in Thunder last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 38-16 in Thunder last 54 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.Under is 24-9-2 in the last 35 meetings in Oklahoma City.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (OKLAHOMA CITY/PORTLAND) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games, in a game involving two good ball handling team (14.5 or less TO's) are 34-14 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Both these teams are playing decent hockey at the moment with Arizona winning 5 of their L/7 and their hosts Ottawa winning 4 of their L/6. But according to my power rankings the Coyotes are the superior team, and are being offered at value line price, something I cannot turn my back on. Arizona has won the last three meetings and Im betting they grab the cheese for us again in this spot. Note: OTTAWA is 0-9 ATS after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. 

NHL Home teams against the money line (OTTAWA) - after 5 or more consecutive unders, terrible team - outscored by their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season are 12-43 L/22 seasons for a go against  77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Arizona Coyotes to win 

Well rested Clemson off for a week entering this game will look for its second consecutive victory  as visitors to Tallahassee tonight to face  a tired Florida State side playing their 2nd 48 our turnaround . The Tigers’ last victory on the road against Florida State was a 62-56 victory on Feb. 4, 2015. FSU is not only tired but are dealing with nagging injuries, ( Mann, Trent, and Phil) makes them weak home favs tonight. 

Seminoles are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 home games.Seminoles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Seminoles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Seminoles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.Seminoles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Seminoles are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 vs. Atlantic Coast.Seminoles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.

Clemson to cover 

There have been five meetings between Villanova and Butler at historic Hinkle Fieldhouse between the Wildcats and Bulldogs since the BIG EAST was reconfigured in 2013. None has been decided by more than eight points and the average margin of victory in those clashes is 4.8 points per game. Villanova won the first three games and have lost the last two, but come into this game wide awake, with a lot to prove, and won't be intimidated by a Butler team that my own power rankings suggest is less superior to this version of Wildcats and a few notches under previous incarnations of Butler basketball. Im betting on Villanova's two senior foundational pieces, Paschall and Booth to be the difference makers tonight and for this fast improving sophomore supporting group to help us grab the cash in hostile environment. 

Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.Wildcats are 41-18-1 ATS in their last 60 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Wildcats are 36-16 ATS in their last 52 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Wildcats are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 games following a straight up win.Wildcats are 37-17 ATS in their last 54 games overall.Wildcats are 39-19-1 ATS in their last 59 road games.Wildcats are 47-23 ATS in their last 70 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Play on Villanova to cover 

The Crimson Tide lost a close game to Tennessee on the weekend 71-68  but covering as 14 point dogs. You can see this team is coming together and up trending and  already have a statement win vs Kentucky earlier this season and as of Monday the Crimson Tide are No. 50 in the NET rankings that replaced the RPI in helping the NCAA selection committee select its field of 68. Tonight against No.20 Ole Miss Im betting the Tides reserves who have been a strength of this year's team, averaging nearly 27 points per contest (26.6) entering the contest against Ole Miss will be  one of the difference makers tonight in this SEC battle. Also The Tide are one of the top rebounding teams in the nation. Alabama has won the rebounding fights in 16 of its 17 tilts this season. For the year, Alabama ranks second in the SEC and 27th nationally in rebounding margin (+6.4), outrebounding the opposition by an average of 39.2-32.8. In SEC games only, the Tide has outrebounded each of its five SEC opponents and leads the league in rebound margin at +5.8 (39.8-34.0). Meanwhile, Ole Miss is over achieving this year, and I keep waiting for them to drop back down to earth and feel confident betting against them vs a hungry team, with revenge on board for a loss at the Pavillon last season by a 78-66 count. Alabama owns a 38-7 record  when playing Ole Miss in Coleman Coliseum, including wins in four of the last five games played here as hosts and get the nod again.

Play on Alabama to cover