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The Thunder have had issues popping from downtown this season averaging just 33% from beyond the arc, but considering the Nuggets are ranked 29th in 3 point D, Im betting on the Thunder doing more damage than usual from long range and finding a way to cover.
The Thunder are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400 in and overall are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.Thunder are also 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and own a money making 22-7 ATS record in their last 29 games as a road underdog. Meanwhile, the Nuggets are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall and just 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-10 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons
NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - good offensive team - scoring 99+ points/game on the season, after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 68-34 ATS L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.
NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (DENVER) - after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 74-123 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 63% for bettors.
Play on Oklahoma City to cover
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Match Up | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rockets vs Bulls | UNDER 226½ -110 | Premium | 120-125 | Loss | -110 | Show |
Magic vs Knicks | Magic -2 -107 | Premium | 84-91 | Loss | -107 | Show |
Kansas vs Baylor | Kansas +9 -105 | Premium | 69-77 | Win | 100 | Show |
New Mexico vs UNLV | New Mexico +12 -102 | Premium | 46-53 | Win | 100 | Show |
Sharks vs Blues | UNDER 6 -110 | Premium | 4-5 | Loss | -110 | Show |
Bucks vs Nets | UNDER 238½ -110 | Premium | 123-125 | Loss | -110 | Show |
Spurs vs Blazers | Spurs -1½ -103 | Premium | 125-104 | Win | 100 | Show |
Wolves vs Hawks | Wolves +8 -106 | Premium | 97-108 | Loss | -106 | Show |
Suns vs Grizzlies | Suns -3 +100 | Premium | 104-108 | Loss | -100 | Show |
Rockets vs Bulls | Rockets +1 -112 | Premium | 120-125 | Loss | -112 | Show |
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