Alex Smart

Eastern Conference Finals - Best of 7 - Game 5 - Series tied at 2-2

The road team has won all 4 games in this series, and I'm betting on the visitor cashing again in this spot. In game 4 the Caps looked to be in control, but somehow lost focus and succumbed to the Bolts. I really believe that very little separates these teams, except for the caps superior grit, and tonight, their physicality will be the difference maker.  Note: Evgeny Kuznetsov and Alex Ovechkin both have 10 goals to pace the Capitals, who now have the confidence that comes with playing on the road. Overall in the playoffs, road teams are 40-34, on pace to challenge the NHL record for most postseason wins by a road team -- 47 in 2012.

WASHINGTON is 9-4 ATS    in road games against good starting goalies - (saving  91.5% or better of shots against) in the 2nd half of the season this season.WASHINGTON is 5-0 ATS   in road games in the conference finals since 1996.WASHINGTON is 9-1 ATS    in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more this season. WASHINGTON is 5-0 ATS  after 2 straight losses by 2 goals or more this season.

Play on the Washington Capitals to win on the moneyline

DYLAN BUNDY (R) vs. RICK PORCELLO (R)

Baltimore enters this game as poster boys for road futility in Major League Baseball having garnered 13 straight losses. Tonight I'm betting on their tourist visas getting cancelled again and for the O's to end up on the wrong side of the lopsided score.

After three rough starts in a row, Bundy the Os starter rebounded to limit the inconsistent Rays to two hits in seven scoreless innings on Sunday.  That I'm betting was an anomaly and he will revert back to his previous form in this spot vs a much more explosive BoSox offense. The righty is 3-5 with a 4.66 ERA in 13 appearances against Boston. Meanwhile, Porecello started his season 5-0 , but has had a couple of down games, but I'm betting he will respond here at Fenway where his  is 2-1 with a 3.54 ERA this season.

BUNDY the Orioles starter is 3-12  against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons with the average margin deficit clicking in at Opp 6.4 Balt 4

BALTIMORE is 1-12 SU  in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start over the last 2 seasons with a combined average loss coming of 2.7 rpg.BALTIMORE is 4-20 SU vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better with the combined average victory coming by 2.2 rpg.BALTIMORE is 7-34 L/31 against the money line as an underdog of +150 or more with the average combined loss coming by a whopping 3.3 rpg.

The Red Sox are 10-0 SU as a home favorite off a game as a favorite in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs and have won these ten games by an average of 4.90 runs, scoring an average of 7.90 runs per game in those tilts.

Play on Boston Red Sox on the -1.5 on the RL

Eastern Conference - Finals - Best of 7 - Game 3 - BOS Leads 2-0

I finally expecting for the Cavaliers to come out here in front of their own fans and leave everything on the floor as they make an effort to make a comeback in this series down 2-0. Last time out  James had 42 points for the Cavs,  and Love 22 ,but the rest of team looked old bored and worn out. Its not like they cant wake up as a group on occasion,  as was evident vs the Pacers and Raptors , because they can. With that said, tonight  I'm  now betting the Cavs as a whole  after that embarrassment  will be firing on all cylinders offensively and that they will force the Celtics into reciprocating with some offensive fireworks of their own or be blown of the court. My own projections estimate that both teams will hit the 105 point plateau. Note: BOSTON is 20-1 OVER  where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season and CLEVELAND is 24-7 OVER  in home games when they allow 100 to 105 points in a game over the last few seasons and are 35-6 OVER where both teams score 105 or more points in a game this season.

CLEVELAND is 21-12 OVER revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points this season with a combined average of 225.7 ppg scored. CLEVELAND is 16-6 OVER in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 221.9 ppg going on the board. CLEVELAND  in 20 games  as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season have seen a combined average score of 216.8 ppg scored.

BOSTON is 22-11 OVER off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 211 ppg scored. BOSTON is 24-13 OVER L/37  versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game with a combined average of 210.9 ppg scored.

NBA  team (BOSTON) - off 3 or more consecutive home wins against opponent off 2 consecutive road losses by 10 points or more are 49-22 OVER L/21 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the OVER