Art Aronson

This is an 8* play OVER Arizona-San Diego

Arizona is a team you probably don't hear about all that often, but they have managed to stay above .500 and are still in a good spot, despite suffering back to back losses. We had the Under in Sunday's game vs. the Giants, which was a 3-2 loss that went 10 innings. So you may be surprised to see that we're going Over in Monday's matchup with San Diego, which - on paper - would seem more conducive to an Under play. But the number is too low here. Padres starter Chris Paddack has been very good in his rookie year, guiding the team to a 6-2 record when he's on the mound and doing so with a 1.99 ERA and 0.75 WHIP. But he's off his worst start to date as he allowed six runs in just 4 2/3 innings to the Dodgers. San Diego is off three straight losses to Pittsburgh here at home and all three games went Over. The Diamondbacks go with Luke Weaver for this series opener and like Paddack he's pitched well. It was a 2-1 game when Weaver and Paddack met back in April, but the total there was 8.0. Arizona averages 5.6 runs/game on the road and the Over has cashed in 11 of their last 15 series openers. Plus, it is 12-4-1 their last 17 division games. Play OVER Arizona-San Diego

AAA

This is a 10* Play on OVER Seattle-Texas

A Seattle-Texas matchup should almost be an automatic "green light" to take the Over in our opinion. The Mariners have given up the most runs in all of baseball (292), but at the same time they have also scored the second most (258). Therefore, it's no shocker that they are the top Over team in the sport with a 34-12-3 O/U record. True to form, they are off a four-game series (against Minnesota) where they allowed 40 runs. Texas is off a series with St. Louis where every game went Under, but they are still giving up a high number of runs per game for the year (5.5). At the same time, they too can bring the offense as they average 5.8 runs/game, which is #1 in all of MLB! The only previous series between these teams in 2019 brought three Overs in four games (one push). The three games that went Over all saw the winning side score no fewer than 14 runs. Seattle starter Mike Leake did win his last time out, an impressive performance which saw him limit the A's to just three runs (only one earned), but he entered that start with an 0-5 TSR his last five starts. The Rangers hand the baseball to Mike Minor, who has a 4.21 ERA in nine career appearances vs. the Mariners. Play OVER Seattle-Texas

AAA

This is a 10* play on GOLDEN STATE

The Warriors broke the hearts of the Blazers with a come from behind victory in Game #2 and they may very well have broken their spirit by doing the same in Game #3. Both instances saw the reigning champs battle back from a double digit halftime deficit. Blowing leads like that - in consecutive games - is really tough to battle back from and down 0-3 in a series would seem like the ideal spot to fade such a team as no team in history has come back to win a series down 0-3, so Portland basically knows its season ended Saturday night. Unlike Game #2 (when we cashed the Blazers plus the points), they could not even cover the spread in Game #3, losing by 11 as their poor shooting continued. Assuming Golden State does not fall into yet another early hole, covering the spread here should not be a problem at all. They have incentive to sweep as it will give them more time off before the NBA Finals and maybe Kevin Durant can return for that series. Play on GOLDEN STATE

AAA