Art Aronson

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Atlanta Braves.

We had a play on the Marlins yesterday and Dan Straily would take advantage of a late pitching change by the home side to post another victory. But we think the Braves will bounce back here in this favorable matchup. The visitors turn to Jose Urena (0-6, 4.38 ERA) who gave up three earned runs off four hits over six innings in a loss to these very Braves last Sunday. Urena has been unfortunate this year, as he’s pitched a lot better than what his win/loss record would indicate, but that said he’s still a horrible 0-0 with a 6.10 ERA on the road thus far. The home side counters with Sean Newcomb (4-1, 2.51) who gave up one hit and four walks while striking out six over six scoreless innings in a win over these very Marlins throwing opposite Urena last weekend. Newcomb hasn’t been perfect this season, but his peripherals (.6 HR/9) suggest that his numbers are no fluke. Note that he’s been better on the road than at home, but he’s still a sharp 2-1 with a 2.70 ERA in all “night” contests thus far. We think that Newcomb will easily outlast his erratic counterpart as all signs point to a blowout. Play on the BRAVES.

AAA Sports

This is a 1* Free Play on the OVER between the Celtics/Cavs.

The first two games of this series have fallen UNDER the posted number, but with their backs against the wall, we think the Cavaliers will finally get untracked offensively tonight. LeBron James did everything he could in the Game 2 loss, but he’ll need the rest of his team to step up here at home. Boston was able to use tough defensive play to protect home court, but the C’s have been flexible with their approach in the playoffs and they would love nothing more than to turn this one into a shootout. Note as well that Boston has seen the total go OVER the number in 18 of 29 already this year after a win by ten points or more, while Cleveland has seen the total go OVER in 30 of its last 50 after a loss by ten points or more. This number seems a little low, consider the OVER in Game 3.

AAA Sports

This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Atlanta Braves.

We had a play on the Marlins yesterday and Dan Straily would take advantage of a late pitching change by the home side to post another victory. But we think the Braves will bounce back here in this favorable matchup. The visitors turn to Jose Urena (0-6, 4.38 ERA) who gave up three earned runs off four hits over six innings in a loss to these very Braves last Sunday. Urena has been unfortunate this year, as he’s pitched a lot better than what his win/loss record would indicate, but that said he’s still a horrible 0-0 with a 6.10 ERA on the road thus far. The home side counters with Sean Newcomb (4-1, 2.51) who gave up one hit and four walks while striking out six over six scoreless innings in a win over these very Marlins throwing opposite Urena last weekend. Newcomb hasn’t been perfect this season, but his peripherals (.6 HR/9) suggest that his numbers are no fluke. Note that he’s been better on the road than at home, but he’s still a sharp 2-1 with a 2.70 ERA in all “night” contests thus far. We think that Newcomb will easily outlast his erratic counterpart as all signs point to a blowout. Play on the BRAVES.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Arizona Diamondbacks.

After yesterday’s 3-1 loss (we had the D-Backs unfortunately in that one), we think the hungry visitors will find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Arizona hands the ball to Patrick Corbin (4-1, 2.53 ERA) who comes in off his first loss of the 2018 campaign after allowing four runs off six hits to the Brewers on Monday. Corbin though would post eight K’s and we think the hard-throwing southpaw will return to form here. The home side counters with the erratic Stephen Matz (1-3, 3.86) who received a no-decision against the Phillies on Friday, allowing one run off vie hits over five innings. Matz looked terrible and he’s lucky to have gotten off the hook, as he’d go on to walk more batters than he struck out. Note that Arizona is 11-6 (+7 units) on the road this year, while New York is still just 8-11 (-6.8 units) at home. We think Corbin cruises and Matz gets the hook early. All things considered, a very fair price. Play on the DIAMONDBACKS.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the UNDER between the Caps/Lightning.

The Capitals’ Braden Holtby is 10-5 with a 2.24 GAA in the playoffs, while the Lightning’s Andrei Vasilevskly is 10-4 with a 2.63 GAA. Holtby looked great over the first two games, while Vasilevskly was the better of they two over Game’s 3 and 4. This series has seen a lot of offense so far, but we finally expect these competent goaltenders to be the main focal points in tomorrow’s summaries. Note that Washington has already seen the total go UNDER the number in seven of 12 road games this year when the total in the contest is set at six or higher, while TB has seen the total go UNDER in four of its last six after a win by two goals or more. Play the UNDER.

AAA Sports

This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Boston Celtics.

We had a play on the OVER in Game 1 and then we came back with a play on the Celtics in Game 2. We’re predicting another “nail biter” in Game 3 and while we wouldn’t be completely shocked by the outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we expect this one to come down to the wire. Boston is doing its best to slow down LeBron James, effectively doing that in Game 1, before allowing The King to do his thing in Game 2. The key of course is that the Celtics have been able to shut down LBJ’s role players. And we don’t think anything will change here. Cleveland on the other hand is unable to make any big stops whatsoever and we have a hard time seeing it simply “flipping a switch” in a matter of a couple of days and suddenly reversing that trend of futility. Boston is the deeper and more talented team despite not having a player of James’ caliber and it’s also receiving much better coaching. When you add it all up, another upset seems imminent, but as mentioned off the top, we’re grabbing the points. Play on BOSTON.

AAA Sports