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R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Tuesday 8-22-17
UNDER 8 1/2 Toronto/Tampa Bay
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Kyle Gibson is not a pitcher you'll find me going Under the total with too often. But this is one of those rare exceptions. The White Sox are 23rd in runs, minus their second-leading home run hitter, Matt Davidson, and the weather forecast is for wind to be blowing in at 14 mph. Chicago is in full youth movement. The White Sox are one of the few teams Gibson has a strong history against. Gibson is 5-2 with a 2.37 ERA in nine career starts versus the White Sox. Minnesota is going to be facing the White Sox's prize pitching prospect, Lucas Giolito. This will be Giolito's big league season debut. Giolito received some major league experience last season when he made four starts for the Nationals. The Twins rank 18th in homers. This was with Miguel Sano, their home run and RBI leader. Sano is out with a shin injury. It looks like the White Sox have found a dependable closer as Juan Minaya is three-for-three in save opportunities. Home plate umpire Ben May has had more Unders than Overs during the last three years.
Pure Lock's FREE MLB play Tuesday 8-22-17
Chicago Cubs -159
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Mikey Sports FREE MLB play Tuesday 8-22-17
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I'm recommending a play on the Phillies with Aaron Nola over Dan Straily (game-1 of the doubleheader). Since June 21, the Phils are just 23-30. However, during the same stretch they're 7-4 when Nola toes the starting rubber, which shows just how effective he's been. Nola held 10 straight opponents to 2 runs or less before a rough outing in SFO last time out. I'm more of the belief it was an anomaly and not a sell sign. The fact is, he was cruising along for the most part, before a bad 5th inning. The righthander is back home tonight where the Phils have won each of his last three home starts and five of his last six. Nola has allowed just 5 earned runs, 33 base runners, with 52 strikeouts in those six starts, spanning 42 1/3 IP. That's a smoking-hot, 1.06 ERA, 0.78 WHIP, and 11.06 K's per 9 IP ratio. Dan Straily has watched his team lose each of his last seven starts and he's receiving little help from his offense. It's hard to imagine he'll get the likely required help tonight. Straily isn't eating up innings, failing to pitch six full in all but one of his last seven starts. The righthander's numbers on the road have not been good since the start of the 2014 campaign and not much has changed this season where his ERA sits north of 4.6. With a potential pitching mismatch on hand, we'll recommend a play on Aaron Nola and the Phillies on Tuesday (game-1). Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
#MLB Free Pick from Mike Lundin - 4 in a row?
The Rockies are on the road again as they visit the Kansas City Royals for the opener of a three-game series at Kauffman Stadium Tuesday night. They're coming off a disappointing 3-4 homestand, and we can note that the Rockies are just 6-21 in their last 27 road games overall and 3-14 in their last 17 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.
They will indeed face a southpaw tonight as the Royals hand the ball to Danny Duffy (7-8, 3.82 ERA). The 28 year old has been solid at home all season, posting a 3.14 ERA through eight starts, and we can note that the Royals are 35-16 in Duffy's last 51 home starts.
The Rockies turn to Jon Gray (5-2, 4.74 ERA). The 25 year old right-hander has a 4-11 mark with a 4.93 ERA in 26 career starts on the road, and he's 1-2 with a 6.34 ERA in seven road starts on the season.
Two motivated teams still fighting to make it to the postseason, but I think the home team has a clear edge in this contest. We've cashed three straight free picks and I'm counting on the Royals to make it four in a row.
My free pick selection is Kansas City Royals ML.
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Free Play on Yankees -168
The White Sox snapped the Twins winning streak last night by beating them 7-6. I think the Twins will have a hard time bouncing back here especially with Gibson on the mound who doesn't deserve to be favored. He is 6-10 with a 6.05 ERA on the year. He also owns a 5.33 ERA on the road in 9 starts. His recent form isn't any better with a 5.79 ERA his last 3 starts.
The Marlins are worth a look here in game 2 of the doubleheader here. Miami has been pretty solid as of late winning 7 of their last 9 games. They send out Urena who is a perfect 7-0 on the road this season. He also enters this game in great form with a 2.20 ERA his last 3 starts.
The Phillies counter with Pivetta who has a 6.05 ERA on the season and is just 4-8. His recent form is just terrible with a 10.21 ERA his last three starts.
This game features the 64-60 Twins and the 48-75 White Sox. Yesterday both teams played a double header so they will need their starters to go deep today and with Kyle Gibson on the mound for the Twins that is a tall order. Lucas Giolito one of the White Sox prized pitching prospects goes for them he shined in Triple A having a 1.74 ERA over his last 31 innings. White Sox have the better pitcher and are at home and the public is pounding the road team here at a rate of 75% with little movement. Give me the White Sox here for plus money and a 15* winner. ***BE SURE TO CHECK OUT CHASE'S TOTAL FOOTBALL PASS THAT IS 200 DOLLARS OFF NORMAL PRICE FOR JUST A FEW MORE DAYS HE HAS PICKS UP FOR SATURDAY COLLEGE AND NFLX IS FREE***
Free Pick on Cubs -
Chicago scored 3-runs in the bottom of the 10th on Sunday to win 6-5 and finish off a 3-game sweep of the Blue Jays. The Cubs have won 6 of 8 overall and I look for them to keep it rolling in the series opener against the Reds on Tuesday. Chicago got a much-needed day off yesterday and are a strong 8-2 in their last 10 after an off day.
Cubs will send out John Lackey, who might be their worst starter, but he's still a strong option for a No. 5 starter. Lackey has 10-wins on the season and has been much better of late. He's got a 3.31 ERA in his last 3 starts and has gone 7 straight outings allowing 3 runs or less (all 7 have been Cubs wins). Reds counter here with Homer Bailey, who is 4-6 with a 8.44 ERA and 2.043 WHIP in 11 starts. He's made 4 home starts and has a miserable 14.33 ERA and 2.572 WHIP (Reds 0-4). His last outing was at the Cubs, where he gave up 6 runs on 7 hits and 5 walks.
It's also worth noting that in the Reds last game they managed just 1 runs in a 7-run loss to the Braves. Cincinnati is a mere 1-11 this season after scoring 1 run or fewer in their last game. Reds are also 4-12 in their last 16 vs a team with a winning record and 3-11 in Bailey's last 14 starts against a division opponent. Cubs are 20-7 in their last 27 against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Take Chicago!
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Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach Free Pick Tuesday MLB Detroit Tigers Money Line (+) vs New York Yankees @ 7:10 ET - analysis will be posted here by 11:10 AM ET; please check back then for the full write up on this free pick side play for early Tuesday evening; thank you and best of luck, Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach
1* on Cubs vs Reds over 10½ -115