The Thunder have had issues popping from downtown this season averaging just 33% from beyond the arc, but considering the Nuggets are ranked 29th in 3 point D, Im betting on the Thunder doing more damage than usual from long range and finding a way to cover.
The Thunder are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400 in and overall are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.Thunder are also 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and own a money making 22-7 ATS record in their last 29 games as a road underdog. Meanwhile, the Nuggets are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall and just 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-10 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons
NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - good offensive team - scoring 99+ points/game on the season, after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 68-34 ATS L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.
NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (DENVER) - after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 74-123 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 63% for bettors.
Play on Oklahoma City to cover