Alex Smart

Game Details
Jan 19 '21, 9:05 PM in 11h
NBA | Thunder vs Nuggets
Play on: Thunder +10 -110 at BetCris
Game Analysis

The Thunder have had issues popping from downtown this season averaging just 33% from beyond the arc, but considering the Nuggets are ranked 29th in 3 point D, Im betting on the Thunder doing more damage than usual from long range and finding a way to cover. 

The Thunder are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400 in  and overall  are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.Thunder are also 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and own a money making 22-7 ATS record  in their last 29 games as a road underdog. Meanwhile, the   Nuggets are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall and just  2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite. 

OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-10 ATS  in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons

NBA Underdogs of 10 or more points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - good offensive team - scoring 99+ points/game on the season, after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half are 68-34 ATS L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Home favorites of 10 or more points (DENVER) - after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 74-123 ATS L/24 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 63% for bettors.

Play on Oklahoma City to cover

Pick Released on Jan 19 at 07:19 am