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Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Arizona Cardinals -1

The Arizona Cardinals improved down the stretch last year once Kyler Murray returned.  They built off that positive momentum all offseason and should be one of the more improved teams in the NFL.  I was impressed with the Cardinals taking the Bills to the brink in a 34-28 road loss last week, covering as 7-point dogs.

Now the Cardinals return for their home opener against the Los Angeles Rams.  This isn't the same Rams team as last year that made the playoffs because they have been decimated by injuries, plus their best defensive player in Aaron Donald retired.

The Rams suffered two more injuries to their offensive line in their opener against Detroit and now may be without as many as four starting offensive linemen.  Last year's Offensive Rookie of the Year in Puka Nacua suffered a knee injury against the Lions and is out for at least four weeks.  The Rams are also dealing with injuries at cornerback on defense.

Despite all these injuries, the Rams managed to take the Lions to OT, but fell short in a 26-20 defeat on Sunday Night Football.  The Lions really ran them over in OT with David Montgomery and bully ball.  The Cardinals are capable of doing the same thing with James Conner as they want to be a run-first team.

I question how the Rams bounce back mentally from that loss to the Lions.  They wanted revenge from their 24-23 playoff loss and came up just short again.  Matthew Stafford really wanted it against his former team and played as well as you could expect given the circumstances.  I question whether or not he can do it again with all these O-Line injuries and being without Nacua.

Speaking of revenge, the Cardinals want some of it themselves after being owned by Sean McVay over the years.  I would almost never beat against McVay when facing the Cardinals because of it.  But this is the best Arizona team he has seen in quite some time, and this is one of the worst Rams teams given all their injuries.

I'm expecting this line to climb due to these injuries as we get closer to Sunday, so getting Arizona -1 on Wednesday is a nice value currently.  Bet the Cardinals Sunday.

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Kansas City -5.5 The Chiefs have the value here on Sunday as they welcome in the Bengals. Cincinnati looked abysmal in Week 1 as they had no answer for the Patriots. It was a struggle on both sides of the ball and now they have to deal with a Chiefs team that looks like they’re in mid season form right now. Kansas City will focus on Chase as Higgins is listed as out once again. That proves to be huge as this Bengals offense just had nothing going for them last week down field. Kansas City took down the Ravens in impressive fashion week 1 and they’re going to ride that momentum here. Mahomes and company are playing with just so much confidence already and the Bengals right now don’t have it. Grab the Chiefs. My daily free plays are meant to be 5* bankroll plays. Remember folks, money management is the key to profits when it comes to sports gambling. Strong lean on the CHIEFS -5.5. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray

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FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR SUNDAY, 9/15:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Sunday is with the Pittsburgh Steelers minus the points versus the Denver Broncos. Pittsburgh (1-0) looks to build off their 18-10 upset win at Atlanta as a 4-point underdog last Sunday. The Steelers have covered the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games after an upset victory. They have also covered the point spread in 14 of their last 21 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Denver (0-1) comes off a 26-20 loss at Seattle as a 6.5-point underdog on Sunday. The Broncos have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 8 games in the first month of the season. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 15 games when listed in the +/- 3-point range including five of their seven games last year under head coach Sean Payton. Take Pittsburgh minus the points. Best of luck — Frank.

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1* Free Pick on Bengals

1* on Texans

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Bengals/Chiefs UNDER 48

Joe Burrow just doesn't look right with his injured wrist.  The Bengals managed just 224 yards and 10 points against the Patriots at home in Week 1.  He was without Tee Higgins and will be without him again.  Ja'Marr Chase isn't up to full speed after sitting out camp.  The Bengals don't have Joe Mixon any more to bail them out.  I think the Bengals will struggle again offensively against what has become one of the better defenses in the NFL in the Chiefs.  Kansas City won't have Hollywood Brown as he just hit the IR.  The Chiefs will give Isaiah Pacheco a heavy workload knowing they can get what they want on the ground against a Cincinnati defense that no longer has run stuffer DJ Reader.  The Patriots had a lot of success on the ground against them last week.  I think the Chiefs get a lead and try and sit on it as they usually do in the 2H to really eat up clock with long, extended drives that many times end up in FG's.  Give me the UNDER.

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1* Free Wiseguy Play on Bengals/Chiefs over

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

The defending Super Bowl Champs started their season with a  hard fought prime time  win vs Baltimore and could easily follow that up with a letdown performance here vs a an opponent that choked against  under rated New England in week 1 action and is badly looking for redemption. . Cincinnati QB Joe Burrow  in his NFL career against sides like KC coming off a SU/ATS vcitroy , is 7-0 SU/ATS away. Im betting that the Bengals keep this game closer than the line might indicate. This game screams FG victory and it might not be the favorite taking the cheese.

Play on Cincinnati to cover