Matt is 134-97 (+$27,195) in the CFL since the start of 2012 following a tough Thursday loss. His remainder of Week 4 posted soon. In baseball, he is coming off a brutal ninth inning loss with Baltimore. 2 Winners!
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Match Up |
Pick |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Analysis |
Marlins vs Nationals |
Nationals -117 |
Premium |
6-3 |
Loss |
-117 |
Show
|
This is a play on the WASHINGTON NATIONALS for our Friday Free Play. The Nationals lost their series finale against Pittsburgh but they have been playing well, as they have won six of its last nine games which is its best stretch of the entire season which shows how much of a struggle it has been. The Nationals scored seven runs in the recent loss to the Pirates and the offense has actually been very good this season as they are ranked No. 5 in batting average, hitting .254, and they are in a good matchup here facing a lefty starter where they are hitting .258 on the season at home. Josiah Gray has been one of the top pitchers in the rotation of late as he has posted a 1.24 ERA and 0.97 WHIP over his last five starts. The Nationals are 5-2 in their last seven home games against teams with a losing record. Miami was on a 1-4 run before taking the series finale at St. Louis on Wednesday. The road continues to be a struggle as it is 15-24 compared to posting a 19-16 record at home and the Marlins are hitting just .230 on the highway which is seventh lowest in baseball while sitting No. 5 in strikeouts. The pitching has been below average as well and that will be on full display Friday. Trevor Rogers has been as average as they come as he has allowed three runs or more in six of his last seven starts, posting a 7.33 ERA and 1.83 WHIP over that stretch. Miami is 13-29 against the money line as an underdog this season. Here, we play against National League road teams averaging between 4.0 and 4.5 rpg and batting .240 or worse over their last 20 games going up against a starter with an ERA between 3.70 and 4.20. This situation is 45-18 (71.4 percent) over the last five seasons. Play (904) Washington Nationals 27-16 L43 Free Plays! Matt is 134-97 (+$27,195) in the CFL since the start of 2012 following a tough Thursday loss. His remainder of Week 4 posted on Friday. In baseball, he is coming off a win with the Astros on Thursday and he has a MLB Double Play for Friday! NFL 53-40 (57 percent) +$9,284 and CFB 55-38 (59 percent) +$13,448 last season and Fargo is getting ready for even better seasons! Grab a subscription and do not miss a single play!
|
Orioles vs Twins |
Orioles +201 |
Premium |
2-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
Show
|
This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES as part of our MLB Friday Underdog Double Play. Baltimore has been sneaky good of late and while it is coming off a loss against Seattle on Wednesday, it is catching a good number here. The Orioles 21-18 over their last 39 games and while that may look average, being an underdog in 33 of those games has brought home a tremendous ROI. They are eight games under .500 on the road but have shown a profit thanks to underdogs numbers like this. Spencer Watkins has some below average numbers but has only one real bad start and has been fairly solid on the road with a 1.39 WHIP in four outings. Baltimore is 14-8 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning percentage between .540 and .620 this season while going 6-0 after a loss by six runs or more this season. Minnesota has lost two straight and five of its last eight games but it been plodding along for a while now as since a six-game winning streak was ended on May 24, the Twins are 15-20 and have seen a big lead evaporate. They have been favored in 20 of those 35 games so they have been completely opposite of Baltimore in extended profit. They are 23-17 at home and send Joe Ryan to the hill who got off to a great tart but has struggled with a 5.74 ERA and 1.47 WHIP over his last three starts and Minnesota is 3-3 in his six home starts. The Twins are 4-9 in their last 13 games when their opponent allows five runs or more in their previous game. Here, we play on road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 batting .230 or worse over their last 10 games and with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 2.00 over his last five starts. This situation is 27-19 (58.7 percent since 1997 and while the percentage seems low, the units are at +35.3. 9* (921) Baltimore Orioles
|
#Yankees vs #Guardians |
#Guardians +187 |
Top Premium |
0-0 |
Push |
0 |
Show
|
This is a play on the CLEVELAND GUARDIANS as part of our MLB Friday Underdog Double Play. This is a contrarian play on Cleveland based on the starting pitching matchup but it has been playing well and can take one with this big number. The Guardians took three of five against Minnesota and have closed the gap in the American League Central to one game behind the Twins. Cleveland is 19-15 at home and it is 20-10 over its last 30 games despite a five-game losing streak thrown in there. Aaron Civale got off to an awful start with a 9.85 ERA through his first seven starts but has settled down with a 2.94 ERA over his last three outings and his home ERA is over five runs less than it is on the road. Cleveland is 18-8 against the money line against starting pitchers that walk 1.75 or fewer per start this season. We went against the Yankees on Thursday and as stated, what can you say about New York other than it has been one of the best all-around teams in recent years through this many games. They are 10-6 on the road against teams with a winning record which is certainly good but have lost money in the process and are very heavy favorites here. Gerit Cole gets the start and he has been very solid after getting roughed up against the Twins four starts back and is favored more now . The Yankees are 4-10 against the money line against American League starting pitchers whose ERA is 5.90 or worse over the last two seasons. Here, we play against road favorites with a money line of -175 or more that are batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games going up against an opponent with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games. This situation is 27-19 (58.7 percent) over the last five seasons with an ROI of over 31 percent. 10* (916) Cleveland Guardians
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