Sean Murphy

My selection is on Minnesota over New York at 8:10 pm et on Monday.

I really like the way this spot sets up for the Twins as they look to build off the momentum from yesterday's win, which salvaged a four-game split against the A's. CC Sabathia will take the ball for the Yankees. He has shown a pretty strong home-road dichotomy, posting an ERA well north of five on the road. The Twins are one of the best teams in baseball and can obviously score with anyone, even the Yankees. Fresh off yesterday's eight-run outburst I do look for them to get to Sabathia here. Martin Perez has cooled somewhat following his red hot start to the season but he checks in having worked at least six innings in three straight starts and will be looking to earn his ninth victory of the season. It's worth noting that the Twins actually lead the league in slugging, OPS and home runs and sit second in team batting average. The Yankees rank no higher than fourth in any of those categories. Take Minnesota (10*).

My selection is on Chicago over Miami at 8:10 pm et on Monday.

The White Sox aren't being given much respect by the oddsmakers here and it's largely due to the presence of Ivan Nova on the mound. He has been one of the most hittable pitchers in baseball this season. With that being said, despite his ERA north of seven, the Sox have still managed to go an even 4-4 when he takes the ball at home this season. It's also worth noting that Nova has worked at least into the sixth inning in seven of his last nine outings. Trevor Richards is an 11-game loser for the Marlins and you would have to go back five starts to find the last time he worked into the sixth inning. The Marlins last victory with Richards on the hill came way back on June 2nd in San Diego. Chicago did lose yesterday's series finale against the Rays, but still managed to win that series. Meanwhile, the Marlins have to travel all the way from Los Angeles where they were swept by the Dodgers. Take Chicago (10*).