ASA Wins

#13/14 ASA PLAY ON 8* OVER 6 Goals - San Jose Sharks at Montreal Canadiens, Tuesday at 7 PM ET - Montreal is starting goalie Jake Allen.  He is having a very rough season and has allowed 19 goals last 4 starts with at least 4 goals allowed in all 4 starts.  The Sharks are on a 3-game losing streak and have allowed 5.3 goals per game in regulation time of those 3 games. San Jose has scored an average of 3.8 goals in the last 4 games.  The Canadiens last 6 home games all have totaled at least 6 goals and these have averaged 8.3 goals per game. Look for at least 7 in this one!  Over is our play here.

ASA PLAY ON 8* Portland Trailblazers -3.5 vs. LA Clippers, 10 PM ET - The Blazers have a better “depleted” lineup than the Clipper injury riddled lineup. Portland it without Damian Lillard but the Clippers don’t have Paul George or Kawhi Leonard. Also, out for the Clippers is Luke Kennard and John Wall. Portland is off a tough 4-game road trip which ended with a very poor showing against the Nets. The Clippers are off a win over the Pacers, but it took a monster effort from their Center Zubac who scored 31-points and grabbed 29-rebounds. That was understandable considering the Pacers are one of the worst teams in the NBA when it comes to points allowed to Centers. L.A. has just 1 win on the road versus a team with a winning record and that was the 2nd game of the season against the Kings. Portland is 4-4 SU at home this season, but all 4 losses have come against teams that made the Playoffs a year ago. Portland off a double-digit loss is on a 4-0 ATS streak and we are betting they get a big win tonight.

#613/614 ASA FREE PLAY ON Under 127.5 Points – Charlotte vs Davidson, Tuesday at 7 PM ET - We don’t expect many possessions in this game as both teams are very slow paced. Charlotte is among the slowest paced teams in the country ranking 361st in adjusted tempo and 360th in possessions per game (out of 363). The 49ers games this season are averaging 120 total points and only 2 of their 7 games have reached 130 and those games were vs very fast paced teams with poor defensive numbers. They’ve only played 2 games this season vs a team that ranks 200 or lower in adjusted tempo and those games ended with 119 and 121 total points (Detroit Mercy & Presbyterian). Tonight the face a Davidson team that ranks 291st in adjusted tempo. The Wildcats have had a few higher scoring games this year which makes their overall scoring numbers look higher than they probably should be. 3 of their 6 games vs Division 1 opponents came vs teams ranked in the top 25 in tempo, so very fast paced games. In their 2 games vs teams ranked outside the top 200 Davidson has averaged 128 total points and neither of those opponents were as slow as this Charlotte team. We don’t expect a bunch of 2nd chance points tonight as both teams are solid at protecting the ball (not many turnovers) and neither team is very good on the offensive glass (279th and 296th in offensive rebounding). Lastly, both teams are very good at not fouling allowing just 13% of their opponents points to come from the FT line ranking them both in the top 35 in that category. This one stays UNDER the total

#632 ASA CBB TOP PLAY ON 10* Iowa -15.5 over Georgia Tech, Tuesday at 9 PM ET - Like this spot at home for Iowa after coming off a loss as a 6.5 point favorite vs TCU on Saturday. That game was on a neutral site in Florida. The Hawkeyes shot poorly vs a very good defensive team (TCU) hitting just 43% overall and 18% from beyond the arc, both well below their season averages. We expect those numbers to skyrocket at home tonight where they always shoot well. This season they are 3-0 at home, averaging 100 PPG and hitting 53% of their FG’s. We don’t expect triple digits here but the Hawks have been tough to beat at home winning 22 of their last 25 games and they’ve averaged 89 PPG in those 22 home wins. We just don’t think Georgia Tech can keep up here. They are not a good shooting team ranking 322nd in eFG% and they sit outside the top 285 in both 3 point and 2 point FG%. The Jackets are coming off a win vs a terrible North Alabama team (ranked 328th) that plays zero defense. Tech scored 80 in that game, however prior to that they had averaged just 62 PPG their previous 4 contests. They’ve played one top 60 team this year (Marquette rated 59th) and lost by 24 points on a neutral site. We have Iowa power rated in the top 25 so this will be the best team GT has played this season. The Hawks were just favored by 6.5 and 9 vs TCU & Clemson on a neutral site – both top 65 teams. That means at home they would’ve been favored by 10ish and 13ish vs 2 teams that are much better than Georgia Tech who most are projecting to finish last in the ACC. Despite laying 14, the value is on the home team here. Iowa should be able to put up big points at home as they usually do and unless the Yellow Jackets perform well above expectations, they just won’t score enough to cover this one.