ASA Wins

ASA PLAY ON 8* Philadelphia Phillies Run Line (+1.5 runs) over San Francisco Giants, Sunday at 4:05 PM ET

The Giants are a big favorite here because they have Madison Bumgarner on the mound. Though he is a solid pitcher, one can not ignore the fact that San Francisco is only 3-8 in his 11 starts this season. San Francisco is simply not a very good baseball team and the ability to grab the Phillies at +1.5 runs and a pick em price is absolutely a solid value spot here. The Phillies have certainly had their share of struggles this season but though they are only 4-8 in their last 12 road games, 3 of the losses came by a single run. Philadelphia is 7-5 (at +1.5 runs) in their last 12 road games and they've been a streaky team this season so, off of last night's big win, another outright win this afternoon certainly wouldn't be a total shock. After all, the Giants are only 50-75 this season and, at -1.5 runs, San Francisco is only 3-6 in their last 9 games. Again, the value of the run line here at a pick em price is too strong to ignore. Blake Lively gets the start for the Phillies and he has allowed 3 earned runs or less in 6 of his 7 starts this season. That included an absolute gem versus the Giants earlier this season. We expect another one here. Bet Philadelphia on the run line at +1.5 runs in late afternoon action Sunday.

ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Washington Nationals Money Line (-) over San Diego Padres, Sunday at 4:40 PM ET

Even though Dinelson Lamet has been pitching well for the Padres, he is still a rookie pitcher and the Nationals lineup is much stronger than the Padres (even when the Nats are without Bryce Harper). With that said, Washington and southpaw Gio Gonzalez hold big edges over San Diego in this match-up and yet the line has dropped all the way down from the Nationals as a -135 favorite to now being in a pick em price range. This is great line value when you consider you can have the much better team plus a red hot more experienced pitcher in your favor. The Padres Lamet, though he has been pitching well overall, does have a 5.56 ERA in his day game starts. This is in stark contrast to Gonzalez as the Nats left-hander has gone 2-0 with a 1.83 ERA in his 7 day game starts this season! Also, Gonzalez is 8-3 on the road this season and he enters this start having gone 3-0 with a 0.43 ERA in his last 3 starts! Though the Padres got the win yesterday, they had lost 10 of their 16 prior games and San Diego was held to 3 runs or less for the 4th straight time. The Nationals were 9-3 in their 12 games prior to yesterday's loss. Unlike the Padres, the Nats lineup has plenty of pop and while San Diego is dead last for runs scored out of all 30 MLB teams this season, Washington is #1 in the National League for runs scored per game. The Nationals have won 17 of their last 25 games against teams with a losing record while the Padres are 19-36 this season in their games against teams with a winning record. We're taking advantage of superb line value here. San Diego, because they're at home and have a solid starting pitcher on the mound, are getting way too much respect from the betting markets here. We can't see Gonzalez and the Nationals being denied here after yesterday's 3-1 loss. Bet Washington on the money line in late afternoon action Sunday.