ASA Wins

ASA NBA play on OVER 211.5 Detroit Pistons at Cleveland Cavaliers, 3pm ET - The oddsmakers have overcorrected this O/U number with the first two games of this series staying UNDER 216.5 in Game 1 and 214.5 in Game 2. We will bet the value and play OVER in this one. The Cavaliers will want to dictate a faster tempo at home and play in space against the physical Pistons lineup. In the playoffs, the Cavs home games have all finished with 216 or more total points. Cleveland had the 5th best eFG% in the NBA during the regular season and 6th best true shooting percentage. The Pistons have found their groove offensively with a Net rating of 117.8 in the first two games of this series. They have a 53.7 eFG% against this Cleveland team that allowed the Raptors offense to score 112 or more in 4 games of the first round series. In the two regular season meetings between these two teams on this court they produced 222 and 224 total points. This game will get into the 220’s.

#927 ASA PLAY ON Chicago Cubs -135 over Texas Rangers, Saturday at 7:05 PM ET - There was an early move toward the Rangers in overnight action as a home dog.  Certainly we understand that Jack Leiter can be solid on the mound and that also Texas opened as a sizable home dog here.  However, the Cubs have won 10 straight games plus Edward Cabrera has been the hotter starting pitcher in comparison to Leiter.  Additionally, hitting is a key factor here too as the Rangers have a paltry .308 slugging percentage in home games this season and that, as you would expect, ranks dead last in the majors!  The Cubs are slugging at a fantastic .426 on the road and that ranks 5th out of all 30 teams as that is a great road slugging rate!  Chicago also has the #1 on base percentage (.354) in the majors this season.  Getting back to the pitching match-up here, Leiter has allowed 20 earned runs in 27 innings over his last 5 starts.  This included allowing 3 homers in his most recent home start.  The Cubs Cabrera has a 3.27 ERA this season in his 7 starts and had a 3.53 ERA in his 26 starts with the Marlins last season.  Chicago is 6-1 in the 7 starts Cabrera has made this season and all signs here are pointing to the Cubs taking their overall hot streak to 11 straight wins!  The Rangers, losers of 8 of 11, see their slump continue here.  Texas has scored an average of only 2.5 runs in their last 13 games and gone 4-9 in this stretch.  Chicago has scored an average of 6 runs over their last 11 games!  The Cubs are available at a reasonable price here on the road and we will lay it Saturday.  

#200010 ASA PLAY ON Brighton & Hove Goal Line -1.5 (-135) over Wolverhampton, Saturday at 10 AM ET - Great spot for a home blowout.  Brighton still has sights set on earning a European position in the EPL table.  As for Wolverhampton, they know they are being relegated.  They only managed a 1-1 draw with Sunderland last week.  Brighton is actually off a loss last week which is what strengthens this play further.  There will be no holding back for Brighton here as they also seek revenge for a disappointing 1-1 draw in the reverse fixture this season.  The Wolves have not scored a single goal in 3 of their last 4 road matches.  The Albion, on the other hand, had scored 9 goals in their last 4 matches prior to being held in check a bit in a 3-1 loss at Newcastle United.  Now that they are back home Brighton & Hove respond big here and take advantage of facing a foe that is sluggishly heading to the finish line of a very disappointing season.  We are confident in a blowout win for the home side in this one and will take Brighton & Hove on the goal line at -1.5 goals in this one. 

Under 5.5 Goals (-135) Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers, 6 pm ET Saturday - Fade the over in this lopsided matchup and back the Under 5.5 with high confidence.  If neither team allows more than 2 goals in regulation time of this game than it can't end with anything more than 5 goals and we love what we have been seeing from both these clubs all season long.  Carolina is one of the NHL’s stingiest defenses and a solid penalty kill that has suffocated opponents all season.  In the post-season Carolina has gone 7-0 and allowed 2 or less goals in all 7 games.  Only 1 of the 7 games saw the teams combine for more than 5 goals.  Philadelphia lost Game 3 of this series 4-1 but this followed the Flyers having allowed (in regulation time) an average of only 2 goals in their first 8 post-season games.  Philly started the post-season hot but have since gone 6 straight games without a regulation win and scored a total of only 7 goals in regulation time of those 6 games!  Pound the Under; this one finishes 2-1 or 3-2 at the absolute ceiling.