ASA Wins

ASA PLAY ON 9* Tampa Bay Lightning Puck Line (-1.5 goals +175) vs Washington Capitals, Saturday at 7:15 PM ET

We expect Tampa Bay to win this contest on home ice as they have totally swung momentum in the series by winning both games at Washington. While we are not fond of laying a big money line price that has led us to simply phenomenal value on the puck line here. While this requires the Lightning to win the game by 2 or more goals note that the comeback price on that is in the +175 range and this is particularly a fantastic value considering the following: 1) The Lightning have lost their last 2 home games but they have not lost 3 straight home games this entire season. 2) Tampa Bay is 4-0 in this situation (looking to avoid 3rd straight home loss) and the wins have come by an average margin of 2.5 goals per victory! 3) Six straight games between these teams (including all 4 in this post-season) have been decided by 2 or more goals. 4) Dating back to late March, a span of nearly 2 months, the Bolts have won 13 games and 12 of the 13 victories came by a multiple-goal margin. In fact, in the last 21 games overall, only 2 of the 21 was a 1-goal game. This is what you call putting the odds in your favor and we're going for the big payback in this one as the Caps are reeling physically and mentally while the Bolts are completely rejuvenated and confident in this series. Bet Tampa Bay on the puck line in evening action Saturday.

ASA PLAY ON 9* OVER the Total - Texas Rangers @ Chicago White Sox, Saturday at 7:10 PM ET

The Rangers bullpen ranks only in the middle of the pack in the majors this season and they've blown 6 of 16 save opportunities. The White Sox have one of the worst bullpen rankings in MLB so far this year as they are 6-10 with a 4.54 ERA and have blown half their 16 save opportunities. Only the Royals have allowed higher than the .280 batting average that Chicago's relievers have allowed this season. As for the starting pitchers in this one, Ariel Jurado gets the start for Texas. He just turned 22 earlier this year and Jurado has never even pitched above the AA level in the minors. Though he is off to a solid start in the minors this season it is still only AA ball and last season at the AA level, Jurado was hit at a .302 clip in 27 starts! Now he'll be facing major league hitters and the White Sox have averaged nearly 10 hits per game in their last 4 home games. Speaking of hot hitting, the Rangers exploded in yesterday's game and are now averaging 7 runs per game in their last 4 road games. Look for Texas to take advantage of facing a struggling Lucas Giolito. The White Sox right-hander has walked 9 plus allowed 9 hits in his last two starts and these have totaled less than 10 innings of work! Chicago is 0-3 in his home starts this season as Giolito has been dreadful (13.88 ERA and 2.40 WHIP) in his home starts this season! In home games with an O/U set at 9 or 9.5 runs, the White Sox have gone 8-4 to the over this season and they are also 5-1 to the over this year when off of a game where they allowed double digits in runs. Texas rocked them for 12 runs yesterday. We look for the Rangers over to go to 6-2 in Saturday games on the year. Bet the OVER in the Chicago White Sox game in early evening action Saturday.

ASA PLAY ON: @Cleveland Cavaliers -6 over Boston Celtics, Sat 8:30PM ET -  The Cavs were 13-5 Su at home off a loss this year and will bounce back in this game. They've heard how bad they are for the past few days and will make a statement in this game. Cleveland has won four straight home playoff games with the most recent being a 35-point blowout. The Cavs struggled with their shooting in the first two games which will change at home where they were the 4th best shooting team in the NBA at 48.2%. Boston has struggled on the road in the playoffs with three losses by 11 or more points, another L by 2 points and a win in OT. The Celtics were the 21st worst shooting team in the NBA this season when playing on the road at just 44%. Yes, the Cav had a horrible spread record at home this season but given the circumstance we will play on them here. Lay the points.