Free Sports Picks

MLB  |  Apr 23, 2014
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Indians
Cleveland Indians
-122
  at  BMAKER
in 1h

Free Play for Wednesday

Cleveland Indians -122

Bottom Line: We hit with the Royals yesterday behind Shields, but the Tribe has the advantage tonight.  While Cleveland has poor numbers against lefty starters this season, it has faced just three southpaw starters at home.  Long term numbers are far more important, and the Indians are 12-3 in their last 15 home games versus a left-handed starter.  They are also 25-10 in their last 35 during game 3 of a series, 13-3 in Masterson's last 16 starts during game 3 of a series and 11-4 in his last 15 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.  The Royals are 3-7 in their last 10 road games versus a right-handed starter and 2-5 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.  Vargas is off to a nice start, but the Royals have lost both of his road starts, and his 5.40 ERA versus Cleveland is a bad sign.  Masterson will be focused as he looks to pick up his first win of the season.  Plus, I like the fact his career ERA (4.34) versus the Royals is over a run better than Vargas' ERA in the series.  The Royals are 3-7 in their last 10 meetings in Cleveland.

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MLB  |  Apr 23, 2014
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
+110
  at  BETONLINE
in 1h

I'm recommending a play on the Yankees on Wednesday night.  This is as much of a play against John Lackey as it is a play on New York.  The Boston right-hander is off to a rough start, losing his last two trips to the mound and getting smacked for 12 earned runs and 24 base runners in a total of 11 IP.  Lackey has offered little more than "batting practice" against AL East teams since joining the Sox and I expect more troubles tonight.  Lackey has been slammed for a 6.26 ERA in his last nine starts against the Yankees and has shown us nothing to believe he's ready to "right the ship."  The Sox, meanwhile, are just 3-9 in their last 12 against right-handed starters and they aren't hitting or scoring runs in 2014.  Michael Pineda is off to a red-hot start and already beat the Red Sox this season.  We expect more of the same (sans pine tar or "dirt") tonight at Fenway.  I'm recommending a play on the Yankees on Wednesday.  Thanks & GL!  Scott Spreitzer.

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MLB  |  Apr 23, 2014
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers
-128
  at  PINNACLE
in 2h

FREE PLAY for 4/23

Milwaukee Brewers -128

The Key: The Padres bounced back with a win in the second game of the series, but they are 5-11 in their last 16 games following a win, 4-9 in Ross' last 13 starts and 1-5 in his last six road starts.  The Brewers are 15-6 on the season and a tremendous 21-5 in their last 26 in the third game of a series.  Lohse has been outstanding over his last three starts, going 3-0 with a 2.25 ERA.  The Brewers are 10-4 in his last 14 home starts and 2-0 in his last two starts versus San Diego.  His clubs are 6-2 in his last eight starts against the Padres, including 4-0 in home starts during this span.  Take Milwaukee.

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MLB  |  Apr 23, 2014
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Total
7½ un-108
  at  PINNACLE
in 2h

Wednesday's Free MLB Pick  ---Brewers/Padres UNDER 7.5---

There's some great value on the under in tonight's matchup between the Brewers and Padres. Milwaukee will send out Kyle Lohse, who is 3-1 with a 2.67 ERA and 1.111 WHIP over 4 starts. San Diego will counter with Tyson Ross, who is 2-2 with a 2.13 ERA and 1.224 WHIP over 4 starts. We should be looking at a total closer to 6.5 with these two on the mound. On top of that we get both offenses off a poor showing last night, as they teams combined for just 3 runs over 12 innings.

The UNDER is a 10-1 in Ross' last 11 starts versus a team with a winning record and a perfect 6-0 in his last 6 starts on the road in this spot. We also see that the UNDER is 13-3 in the Brewers last 16 home games against a team that has won less than 40% of their games on the road and a 4-0-1 in Lohse's last 5 starts at home. BET THE UNDER 7.5!

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MLB  |  Apr 24, 2014
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals
Total
7½ un-110
  at  SPBOOK
in 1d

04/24 7:05 PM MLB (907) SAN DIEGO PADRES VS (908) WASHINGTON NATIONALS Take: Your free pick for Thursday, April 24, 2014, comes in baseball as San Diego and the Nationals meet in Washington. Washington is a huge park, great for pitchers, and a terrible San Diego offense is in town. San Diego ranks 30th in runs scored, 28th in on base percentage and 26th in slugging. The under is 38-11-2 in the Padres last 51 vs. a team with a winning record. Starter Eric Stults has been decent, with 2 straight wins allowing 1 and 3 earned runs. Stults allowed just three hits, one run and no walks over six innings in his first win of the season Saturday against the visiting Giants. The six innings were the longest Stults has lasted in four starts this year, so it's nice to see him rewarded with the W for his effort. His only black mark came on a 414-foot solo bomb to Michael Morse in the fifth, but he recovered nicely to retire the next three Giants on fly outs. Stults will bring his 4.35 ERA and 1.40 WHIP into Nationals Park on four days rest Thursday. San Diego is on a 39-14-2 run under the total and the under is 20-7-1 in the Padres last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Washington is on a 3-1-1 run under the total at home. Washington starter Jordan Zimmermann also has a fine arm, with a 3.92 ERA and 23 Ks in 20+ innings with only 6 walks. This has all the makings of a real low scoring game. Play San Diego/Washington Under the total.

MLB  |  Apr 23, 2014
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Indians
Kansas City Royals
+124
  at  BMAKER
in 1h

Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: Kansas City Royals +124

Great value here for the Kansas City Royals as a road underdog to the Cleveland Indians Wednesday night.  This team has really been playing solid baseball of late, winning six of their last eight games overall.  The Indians have dropped eight of their last 12.

My biggest reason for backing the Royals tonight is the edge they have on the mound.  Jason Vargas has gone 2-0 with a 1.24 ERA and 0.931 WHIP in four starts this season.  The left-hander has been dominant in his last two starts against Cleveland, going 1-0 with a 0.64 ERA while allowing just one earned run over 14 innings.

Justin Masterson had a career year last season, but he certainly overachieved compared to what he has done lifetime.  That has shown thus far in 2014 as Masterson is 0-0 with a 4.98 ERA and 1.569 WHIP through four starts.  The right-hander is 5-5 with a 4.34 ERA and 1.459 WHIP in 14 career starts against Kansas City, including 1-2 with a 6.27 ERA in his last three starts against the Royals, allowing 13 earned runs in 18 2/3 innings.

The Royals are 21-8 in their last 29 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.  Kansas City is 18-8 in its last 26 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.  The Indians are 1-4 in Masterson's last five home starts.  Cleveland is 0-5 in its last five vs. a left-handed starter.  Bet the Royals Wednesday.

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MLB  |  Apr 23, 2014
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets
New York Mets
+135
  at  SPBOOK
in 1h

Free Pick on New York Mets +

The Mets are showing great value as a home underdog against the Cardinals. Even with last night's loss in Game 1 of the series, New York is a respectable 5-3 over their last 8 games.

The Mets will send out Jon Niese, who has pitched much better than his 0-2 record would indicate. Niese has a strong 2.84 ERA and 1.105 WHIP over his first three starts. In his two starts at home this season, Niese has allowed just 3 runs on 10 hits over 11 and 2/3 innings. That's not a huge surprise, as he had a solid 3.34 ERA over the previous three seasons at home (42 starts).  It's also worth noting that Niese is 3-1 with a 2.00 ERA over 5 career starts versus the Cardinals.

St Louis counters with Michael Wacha, who I believe is getting a little too much love on the road. While Wacha is 2-1 with a 1.73 ERA on the season and pitched well in his lone start away from home at Washington, he was not nearly as effective on the road as he was at home in 2013. Wacha had a 2.15 ERA in St Louis and a 4.34 ERA on the road.

Home underdogs who are a poor power teams, averaging less than 1 home run per game against a starting pitcher who has a 3.70 ERA or better and is allowing 0.5 or less Home runs per start (NL only), are 68-44 over the last 5 seasons. That's a 61% underdog system in favor of the Mets!

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NBA  |  Apr 23, 2014
Dallas Mavericks vs. San Antonio Spurs
Dallas Mavericks
+8-105
  at  PINNACLE
in 2h

FREE NBA PLAY WEDNESDAY  (4-23-14)

DALLAS MAVERICKS @ SAN ANTONIO SPURS  (8:10 PM EST)

PLAY ON: DALLAS MAVERICKS +8 -105  (NBA)

 

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NHL  |  Apr 23, 2014
Anaheim Ducks vs. Dallas Stars
Total
5½ un-130
  at  SPBOOK
in 2h

under 5.5 goals

I like the under tonight when Dallas plays Anaheim. I think we see a 3-2 type of game and hope for no empty net scores.

Dallas 2

Anaheim 3

Free Play on under 5.5 goals

NHL  |  Apr 23, 2014
Anaheim Ducks vs. Dallas Stars
Dallas Stars
-111
  at  PINNACLE
in 2h

Dallas played Anaheim tough in the first two games of this series and despite of going down 2-0 in the post season, were able to come back and take game 3 at home on Monday thanks to Stars goalie Kari Lehtonen top tier effort. The stopper made 37 saves for the 2-0 shutout. When this goalie is hot, he is capable of stealing a game by himself. With the Ducks suddenly struggling on the power play , and not converting in 8 straight conversion attempts since game one , it looks very much like the tide is starting to turn in this series. Note: The Ducks are 16-36-2 in the last 54 meetings in Dallas  and the home team is 5-1 L/6 in head to head matchups.

Play on Dallas moneyline 1/2 unit comp play

MLB  |  Apr 23, 2014
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees
+110
  at  BMAKER
in 1h

<p>Rating: 1 Unit <b>MLB Free Pick</b></p>

<p>Lackey posted back-to-back quality starts to begin the season, allowing a total of three earned runs in 13 innings. Things started to fall apart at New York on April 12, when the veteran was reached for six runs on 10 hits - including a career-high four home runs - in 5 2/3 innings. Lackey kept the ball in the ballpark against the Baltimore Orioles over the weekend but issued a season-high four walks and another 10 hits and six earned runs in the loss. Lackey comes in with a sky high 5.25 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP</p>

NBA  |  Apr 23, 2014
Dallas Mavericks vs. San Antonio Spurs
Total
198 ov-110
  at  BMAKER
in 2h

OVER 198.5   Mavs / Spurs

Expect the Mavs to push the pace and run it up and down all night and the Spurs will and can keep pace and no way they want to leave Dallas hanging around late so I expect a solid offensive performance out of both teams.  Spurs scoring 101 and allowing 101 in their last 5 games and Dallas will pull out all the stops tonight. 

 

 

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MLB  |  Apr 23, 2014
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Indians
Cleveland Indians
-135
  at  BETONLINE
in 1h

Wednesday MLB Free Play from Doc’s Sports Take #972 Cleveland Indians (-135) over Kansas City Royals (Wednesday, 7:05pm EST) The Cleveland Indians and Kansas City Royals both exceeded expectations in a big way last year. The Indians grabbed a wild card berth with 92 wins while the Royals were in the race most of the way with 86. They were two of the best stories in baseball last season, but only one of those teams has a realistic shot of doing it once again. The Royals were successful in 2013 due to a dynamite bullpen and superb defense. Good bullpens are very hard to maintain from year-to-year as they are already finding out. Their bullpen ERA is over a full run higher than last season and two of their top guys are on the disabled on top of it. The Royals had unbelievable defensive metrics last season, and those will also be hard to repeat. The Indians, on the other hand, were successful last year mainly due to a well-balanced offense and good starting pitching numbers. Those variables are much more consistent from season-to-season, so I think the Tribe has a good chance to be in the thick of things again in 2014. Team ace Justin Masterson takes the ball for Cleveland on Wednesday, and he looked good last time out after a couple of shaky outings. On the other side is Jason Vargas for Kansas City – a guy who generally keeps his team in the game but won’t dominate the opposition. Big edge to the Indians there. Add in the home field advantage and the fact that Cleveland has the better overall team, and it all adds up to a play on the Indians here.

MLB  |  Apr 23, 2014
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies
+147
  at  BETONLINE
in 4h

Ryan's First Round NBA Playoff Game of the Year goes Wednesday! 

He is on a 14-5 ATS run in the NBA for 74% ATS winners. He also gave you an incredible FREE pick on the +225 Houston Astros as they destroyed the Seattle Mariners Monday.  

 

5* graded play on the Philadelphia Phillies as they take on the Los Angeles Dodgers in MLB action set to start at 10:10 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that the Phillies will win this game and take the first three of this four-game set with the Dodgers. Cole Hamels makes his first start of the season and this will be the first time the Big Three have started three consecutive games. We already know how good Lee has been and Burnett pitched very well last night and also went 3-for3 at the plate. Arguably one of the best LH starters in the NL, Hamels had a fantastic rehab and looks to be in mid-season form. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 56-34 mark for 62% winners since 1997. Play against home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (LA DODGERS) inconsistent NL offensive team scoring <=4.1 runs/game and is now facing a team with a below average bullpen posting an ERA>=4.50 and after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less. Hamels is  6-1 with an 8-3 team record when starting against Dodgers with an ERA of 2.41 and a WHIP of 1.018. Take the Phillies. 

NBA  |  Apr 23, 2014
Portland Trailblazers vs. Houston Rockets
Portland Trailblazers
+6-105
  at  PINNACLE
in 3h

FREE NBA PLAY WEDNESDAY  (4-23-14)

PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS @ HOUSTON ROCKETS  (9:40 PM EST)

PLAY ON: PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS +6 -105  (NBA)

 

FREE NBA PLAY WEDNESDAY  (4-23-14)

PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS @ HOUSTON ROCKETS  (9:40 PM EST)

PLAY ON: PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS +6 -105  (NBA)

 

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MLB  |  Apr 23, 2014
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers
-137
  at  PINNACLE
in 2h

1* free play Milwaukee Brewers.

 

San Diego starter Tyson Ross has looked pretty darn good over his last two outings, but I think Kyle Lohse and company will bring home the bacon on Wednesday night.

 

Milwaukee’s starting pitching is second in the league with a collective 2.59 ERA. San Diego isn’t too far behind with a 2.70.

 

Lohse is 3-1 with a 2.67 ERA this season and he’s looking for a fourth straight victory after allowing three runs (one earned) over 6 1/3’s innings in a 5-3 win at Pittsburgh last Friday.

 

If history is any precedence, then Lohse has to be loving his chances here; over his last four starts vs. the Friars he’s won three while posting a minuscule 1.73 ERA in the process.

 

Ross is 2-2 with a 2.13 ERA and has won two in a row. Before allowing just one run with 16 K’s and two walks over 15 innings in his last two starts, Ross gave up 11 runs and walked nine over 10 1/3’s frames in his first two. The book is still out on Ross in my opinion.

 

Note that the Padres are hitting a meager .212, while averaging just 2.4 runs on the road so far.

 

I had a play on the “under” in San Diego’s 2-1, 12-inning victory yesterday; I think Lohse and the home side offer some real value in this one though.

 

Consider a second look at the Milwaukee Brewers in this match-up.

 

 

Good luck, Nick Parsons

MLB  |  Apr 23, 2014
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Total
7½ un+109
  at  PINNACLE
in 2h

FREE MLB Over-Under WEDNESDAY  (4-23-14)

SAN DIEGO PADRES @ MILWAUKEE BREWERS  (8:10 PM EST)

PLAY ON: UNDER 7.5 +109  (MLB)

 

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