Free Sports Picks

NFL  |  Sep 21, 2014
Minnesota Vikings vs. New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints
-10½+100
  at  5DIMES
in 14h

1* Free Play Saints.

From a situational stand-point, there’s no question that this game has all the makings of an epic one-sided rout, I think the home side is worth a second look in this spot. Things could not have gone worse for New Orleans to open the year, it’s 0-2 out of the gates after losing 37-34 in Atlanta in Week 1 and then 26-24 in Cleveland last Sunday. But now the Saints return to New Orleans for their first game at home and with a massive chip on their collective shoulders, there’s no question the team will have something to prove this weekend. The Vikes on the other hand are coming off listless 30-7 loss at home to the Patriots and they’ve been rocked by scandal over the last week, star RB Adrian Peterson has been charged with child negligence. Peterson has been activated and de-activated a few times this week, the RB will not play on Sunday. Obviously this is a huge distraction for the team and is a major factor that New Orleans can take advantage of. Without their workhorse to lean on, I think the Vikes offense sputters this weekend. Note that Minnesota is just 8-10 ATS in its last 18 on the road, while the Saints are 11-5 ATS their last 16 in front of the home town crowd. All signs point to a comfortable NEW ORLEANS cover.

AAA Sports

NFL  |  Sep 21, 2014
Washington Redskins vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Washington Redskins
+6½-110
  at  BOVADA
in 14h

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Washington Redskins +6.5

The Philadelphia Eagles (2-0) have had two huge comebacks for victories. They came from 17 down to beat Jacksonville 34-17, and 14 down to defeat Indianapolis 30-27. The Washington Redskins (1-1) did not play well in a 6-17 loss to the Texans on the road in their opener, but bounced back with a 41-10 win over the Jaguars last week.

The Redskins are vastly improved over a year ago. I actually believe that the Robert Griffin III injury is a blessing in disguise because Kirk Cousins is the better quarterback. He had the second-best passer rating in the league last week in the win over Jacksonville. Cousins went 22 of 33 passing for 250 yards and two touchdowns without any picks to lead the team once Griffin III went down.

What I’ve been most impressed about the Redskins thus far is their improvement on defense. They are only giving up 13.5 points and 232.0 yards per game on the season. They registered a whopping 10 sacks against the Jaguars last week and lead the league in that department. It’s amazing what this stop unit can do when healthy, which wasn’t the case last season.

Indeed, the Redskins went just 3-13 last season, yet they hung tough in both of their losses to the Eagles. They lost 27-33 at home and 16-24 on the road. They put up an average of over 400 yards per game of total offense in the two losses as well.

They should have no problem moving the football on an Eagles defense that is really banged up right now. Mychal Kendricks went out against the Colts last week with an injury and probably won’t be back this week. Najee Goode is on the IR with a torn pectoral muscle. These two linebackers are irreplaceable.

The Eagles have certainly looked vulnerable in their first two games. They trailed 17-0 to the Jaguars before rallying in the second half for a victory. They were also behind 20-6 against the Colts before rallying for a 30-27 win.

They used a ton of energy in trying to make that comeback on Monday Night Football. Now, they will be on a short week against a Redskins team that only had to go through the motions in the second half against the Jaguars and will be plenty rested because of it.

Plays against home favorites (PHILADELPHIA) – team with a poor scoring defense last season – allowed 24 or more points/game, after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored are 23-3 (88.5%) ATS since 1983. The Redskins are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. The Eagles are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 home games.  Bet the Redskins Sunday.

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NFL  |  Sep 21, 2014
Dallas Cowboys vs. St. Louis Rams
Dallas Cowboys
-1-110
  at  BETONLINE
in 14h

Sunday's Free NFL Pick  ---Dallas Cowboys -1---

The Cowboys bounced back in a big way after that ugly loss at home to the 49ers in Week 1, as they went on the road and defeated a good Tennessee team rather easily 26-10. There was a lot of talk coming into the season of just how bad this Dallas team was going to be, especially on the defensive side of the ball, but that hasn't been the case at all. Dallas comes in ranked in the top half of the league against both the run (13th) and the pass (14th).

Hard to not like that motivated Cowboys defense against a St Louis offense that is playing with backup quarterback Shaun Hill. The Rams haven't been impressive at all in their two games. They've scored just 25 points this season and are 16th in passing (233 ypg) and 23rd in rushing (95.5 ypg). I just don't see St Louis being able to score enough to keep up with the high-powered Cowboys' offense that hasn't hit its stride yet.

One of the big keys here for Dallas is they have arguably the best offensive line in the game, which is going to allow them to run the football and wear down the Rams strong front. With the offense not being able to sustain long drives, this St Louis defense figures to be on the field a lot and I look for the Cowboys to really open this one up in the 2nd half. BET THE COWBOYS!

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NFL  |  Sep 21, 2014
Houston Texans vs. NY Giants
NY Giants
+1-110
  at  BOVADA
in 14h

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Houston at N.Y. Giants 1:00 ET

Giants (+/-) over Texans- Well, I'm either going to look like a complete idiot or the least a persistent bastard for using the hapless Giants this week. Okay here we have it an 0-2 team favored over a 2-0 teams makes me scratch my head. Especially when I see the Giants are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games in September but, I also see the Texans are 0-7 ATS in their last seven on fieldturf. New YorK gets into the WIN column Sunday. Take GIANTS!

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NFL  |  Sep 21, 2014
San Diego Chargers vs. Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills
-1-120
  at  BOVADA
in 14h

Play - Buffalo Bills.

Edges - Bills: 3-0 ATS in this series; and 5-1 ATS home with Marrone.  Chargers: 1-8 ATS away vs AFC East opponents; and 2-8 ATS after Seahawks.  With NFL teams who upset the defending Super Bowl champions a paltry 6-29 SU and 7-28 ATS away versus opponents off a win in their next game, and the Chargers on the East Coast in an early start, we recommend a 1-unit play on Buffalo.  Thank you and good luck as always.

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NFL  |  Sep 21, 2014
Washington Redskins vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles
-5½-109
  at  PINNACLE
in 14h

Free Pick on Philadelphia Eagles -

I'm taking the Eagles to cover at home over the Redskins. Philadelphia has yet to play a complete game and I believe it's got them undervalued at home in a division matchup against Washington. The Redskins are getting some love here after that impressive win over the Jaguars, but I'm not sold on this team being a serious contender. That doesn't cover up their ugly loss to the Texans in Week 1, where they managed to score just 6 points.

Last year the Eagles offense had no problem moving the ball against the Redskins defense. Philly put up 443 yards and 33 points in the first meeting and 402 yards and 24 points in the second matchup. They showed they could move the ball both through the air and on the ground. They had 263 rushing yards in one game and 276 yards passing in the other.

I know Washington's defense has looked strong early, but that's largely due to who they have played. Houston has been one of the most conservative offenses through the first two weeks and there's no explanation needed for Jacksonville. They have been one of the worst offensive teams for a several years.

Another big key that is getting overlooked is the Eagles are a better defensive team than they get credit for and will be going up against a Redskins team that lost starting quarterback RGII and could potentially be without wide out DeSean Jackson, who is questionable with a shoulder injury.

Taking the points with Washington has not been a wise investment lately. The Redskins are just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games when listed as an underdog. Washington is also just 3-10 ATS in their last 13 versus the NFC, 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 after allowing 250 or less total yards, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 following a SU win. Take Philadelphia!

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NFL  |  Sep 21, 2014
San Diego Chargers vs. Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills
-1-120
  at  BOVADA
in 14h

San Diego is coming off a huge victory at home against the Seahawks, a team that many believe is the best in the NFL. Now the Chargers have to come down off of their high and travel across the country to play in an early start game against the Bills. The “Spot” clearly points to Buffalo here. The Bills are off to a somewhat surprising 2-0 start. The “Look ahead” line for this game at the LVH/Westgate had the Chargers favored so the market has clearly adjusted.

The Chargers are dead last in the NFL in yards per play differential at -1.6 ypp. That’s a key stat that if not corrected soon, will be very detrimental for this team. The defense has also shown a vulnerability to the big play, a weakness that Buffalo will look to exploit.

The Bills are off a nice win home win against Miami on Sunday. They remain at home which gives them the entire week to prepare for the Chargers without having to worry about any travel. The spread in this game has already moved heavily in the Bills favor and will only continue to rise. I recommend getting in on the Bills as soon as possible.

NCAA-F  |  Sep 20, 2014
Oregon vs. Washington State
Oregon
-23½-106
  at  PINNACLE
in 29m

Play On favorites of 21.5 to 31 points like Oregon after gaining 6.75 or more yards a play in two consecutive games, with eight offensive starters returning. How this college football system works is the Ducks have an experienced offense which can gain yards in chunks and either hit big plays for scores or wear opposing teams down by grinding out first down after first down. 

In the last 21 years, this system is a remarkable 27-3 ATS, 90 percent. Another aspect to also consider is Oregon had their flat game last week against Wyoming and they should be primed to wipe out Washington State.

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NCAA-F  |  Sep 20, 2014
Oregon vs. Washington State
Washington State
+23-106
  at  PINNACLE
in 29m

Ryan is now 15-2 ATS with his gridiron 25* Top rated Titans over the past two season. He is 2-0 ATS in both NFL and NCAAF in 2014 and looks to extend the perfect with his SEC Conference Game of the Month. Get the facts you need to win right here for just $50.00 

5* graded play on Washington State as they take on the Oregon Ducks in PAC-12 action set to start at 10:30 PM ET.  The simulator shows a high probability that WSU will lose this game by fewer than 21 points. Head Coach Leach is a very nice Leach is 28-10 ATS (+17.0 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games in all games he has coached since 1992;  20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) versus good rushing teams averaging >=200 rushing yards/game in all games he has coached since 1992; 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) after gaining 100 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games in all games he has coached since 1992. WSU is a very good passing attack under Leach. The SIM projects that they will gain more than 400 net passing yards against Oregon. In past games, where Oregon has allowed 400+ net passing yards, they have posted an imperfect 0-7 ATS mark since 2002. Jump on WSU and get the points. Take Washington State. 

NFL  |  Sep 21, 2014
Washington Redskins vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Washington Redskins
+6½-110
  at  BOVADA
in 14h

FREE NFL play Sunday

NFL  |  Sep 21, 2014
Dallas Cowboys vs. St. Louis Rams
Dallas Cowboys
-1-115
  at  BETONLINE
in 14h

The Cowboys (1-1) looked rusty in their season opener while committing 4 Turnovers when losing at San Francisco, 28-17. They put it all together last Sunday, beating a 1-1 Tennessee crew, 26-10, while rushing for 202 yards. That will be the Boy's game plan again this Sunday in St. Louis against a Rams' defense that can't stop the run, already allowing 157 and 186 rushing yards in it's first 2 games! Just look towards last year's 31-7 Cowboys win over the Rams when they dominated the line of scrimmage and rushed the ball 34 times for 197 yards during their 24 point home victory. While we're not usually excited about backing the Cowboys and mistake prone QB Romo, they face a St. Louis team playing with starting QB Bradford and their back-up QBs won't be enough to keep pace with the Cowboy's and RB Demarco Murry. Willing to lay a point in a game Dallas needs to win to stay in the Playoff chase. 

10* Play On Dallas

NFL  |  Sep 21, 2014
Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars
+7½-114
  at  PINNACLE
in 14h

The 0-2 Jags will play their first home game of the season this Sunday and Im expecting they will be very ready to compete in front of their own fans. I know Indy really needs a win after a 0-2 start, but on a short weeks rest, and in a letdown situation after Mondays hurtful 30-27 loss to Philly, might not be the quality bet many might think. I personally like a first half wager on Jacksonville, with the mind set , that they will start strong (1/2 unit wager). At +7 a 1/2 unit wager on Jacksonville, is my recommendation and just 1/4 unit at +6.5. If your going to play this game, wait towards kick off (weekend)- as the best possible numbers may be available with the influx of public money at that time.

Note: I know alot of key trends side with the better team (Indy) and QB (Andrew Luck) but I am taking a contrarian view and stand with this contest.

Play on the Jacksonville Jags 1/2 unit first half wager  - at +7 or better another 1/2 unit selection (Full game) is recommended 

NFL  |  Sep 21, 2014
Dallas Cowboys vs. St. Louis Rams
St. Louis Rams
+102
  at  PINNACLE
in 14h

St Louis Rams +102

I like the Rams to win this game outright. If you look at the 2 teams you would think that Dallas would be Favorited by 3-7 points, but it is such a low number. Vegas is trying to get people to bit on the Cowboys. Im not falling for it I like the Rams at home to win this one and get to 2-1 on the season.

Pick= Rams +102

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NFL  |  Sep 21, 2014
Washington Redskins vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles
-6½-103
  at  PINNACLE
in 14h

Free NFL Football Prediction From Doc’s Sports: Take #456 Philadelphia over Washington (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 21) I have handed out FOUR straight free play winners in this space, and I want to keep it rolling! I am also off to a sensational college football start with over $2,300 in profit and this week I’m going to keep that rolling, too. I won with the Eagles on Monday Night Football to cap a winning NFL Week 2, and I think I’ll go right back to them here. I think the Eagles have more momentum off their comeback win over Washington than the Redskins gained by blowing out the Jaguars. There is no doubt that Kirk Cousins is a better quarterback – by a wide margin – than Bob Griffin. But there are still some fundamental problems with Washington, particularly in the secondary, and the Eagles should exploit those weaknesses. Philadelphia is going to be nearly impossible to beat at home this season, and I think that they are going to wear teams down and tack on those extra couple fourth quarter scores to keep them ahead of a lot of lines. They have won their last five regular season home games by an average of 17 points and those differentials were by 17, 43, 14, 3 and 8 points. Even if you kick out the 43-point outlier the other four wins were by an average of 10.5 points per game. The Eagles are only 7-21 ATS in their last 28 home games. But those numbers are set up for a huge regression, and I can see the Eagles going 6-2 or 7-1 ATS this season on their own turf. This Philadelphia team is one of the best in football. And even though Washington has some solid defensive stats working in their favor they have also faced Ryan Fitzpatrick and Chad Henne this year. This will be the best offense the Eagles have faced to date, and I don’t know that they’re up for it. The action is split almost 50-50 in this game, and the Redskins are taking the lion’s share of the moneyline action. But this isn’t a 50-50 game at all. Philadelphia will pull away late, and I can see them winning this one by between 13-17 points. 

NFL  |  Sep 21, 2014
Minnesota Vikings vs. New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints
-9½-110
  at  BMAKER
in 14h

Minnesota @ New Orleans 1:00 PM ET
Game# 459-460
Play On: New Orleans -9.5

It doesn't matter to me whether the Vikings have Adrian Peterson available or not. I'm of the opinion that by early in the 2nd half they will become one-dimensional offensively, resulting from having to play from a better than 2-touchdown deficit, and they'll have to abandon the run. When that occurs, Matt Cassel will be asked to carry the load, and we saw what happened last week (4-interceptions) against New England when he was asked to do so.

The Saints come off two gut wrenching losses on the road to open the season. They lost in overtime 37-34 at Atlanta in the season opener, and then on the final play of regulation time last week in a 26-24 defeat at the hands of the Cleveland Browns. The Saints have gone a terrific 14-1 SU&ATS as a home favorite of 12.0 or less following a straight up loss since 9/28/2010, and that includes a perfect 7-0 SU&ATS in the last 7, with an average margin of victory being a whopping 22.2 points per game. This is also a New Orleans team that's went a perfect 8-0 at home in 2013, and covered in 7 of those 8-games.

In case you're wondering, any NFL home favorite that comes off 2 road losses in a row, and each came by 3-points or less, has gone 10-2 SU&ATS since 1980. It's a rare occurrence for sure, and the sample size leaves a lot to be desired, but nevertheless, an extremely profitable situation for the home favorite.

Any home favorite of 3.5 or more, coming off back-to-back straight up losses as an away favorite, has gone 17-5 ATS since 1980. Play on the New Orleans Saints minus the points.

NFL  |  Sep 21, 2014
Oakland Raiders vs. New England Patriots
New England Patriots
-13½-108
  at  PINNACLE
in 14h

FREE NFL PLAY SUNDAY  (9-21-14)

OAKLAND @ NEW ENGLAND  (1:00 PM EST)

PLAY ON: NEW ENGLAND -13.5 -108  (NFL)

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