Ross Benjamin

Oklahoma @ Baylor 7:30 PM ET

Game# 381-382

Play On: Oklahoma -10.0 (5*)

This line makes no sense at all. Undefeated Baylor is a sizable underdog against an Oklahoma team which has allowed 89 combined points over their last 2 games. However, we must keep in mind, 3 of Baylor’s wins this year have come by 3 points or fewer, and then last week they escaped with a 29-23 overtime victory at TCU. Baylor’s defense will have their hands full against an Oklahoma offense that has scored 41 points or more during 8 of its 9 games, and the game that didn’t crack 40 the Sooners were a 34-27 winner over Texas. Furthermore, the Sooners are averaging an eye-popping 587.1 yards of total offense per game. Bet on Oklahoma minus the points for a 5* wager.

Iowa @ Minnesota 4:00 PM ET

Game# 335-336

Play On: Under 45.0 (5*)

The Iowa Hawkeyes possess one the elite defensive units in college football. They’re allowing a paltry 11.7 points and 288.9 yards per game. Iowa has seen 5 of their 6 conference games go under the total and there was a combined average of 30.6 points scored per contest. Their Hawkeyes are averaging a mere 18.8 points scored and 335.7 yards of total offense in Big 10 action.

Minnesota’s defense has improved game by game as this season has progressed. Throughout their previous 5 contests, the Gophers defense is allowing only 13.4 points per game. Minnesota is a run heavy offense. The Gophers have run the ball on 66.7% of their offensive snaps this season. They’ll find the sledding tough against an Iowa defense which has allowed 91 yards or less rushing in 6 of their previous 9 games. Bet on this game to go under the total for a 5* wager.

Troy @ Texas State 3:00 PM ET

Game# 345-346

Play On: Texas State +7.0 (5*)

Troy is coming off a 49-28 home win over Georgia Southern and did so as a 2.0-point underdog. The win improved their season record to 4-5. Nevertheless, Troy is 0-3 SU&ATS this season following a win. They’ll also be facing the 2 best teams in the Sun Belt Conference next when they travel to UL-Lafayette and host Appalachian State. The point being in this looks to be a proverbial flat spot for the road favorite. Texas State is coming off a 30-28 win over South Alabama.

Any college football home underdog that’s coming off a conference win by 6 points or fewer, versus an opponent coming off a home underdog straight up win by 10 points or more, resulted in those home underdogs going 12-0 SU&ATS since 1997. The average margin of victory came by a decisive 15.8 points per game. Bet on Texas State plus the points for a 5* wager.

Florida @ Missouri 12:00 PM ET

Game# 389-390

Play On: Missouri +7.0 (5*)

It’s been a tale of 2 seasons for Missouri. They’ve gone a dismal 0-4 on the road but a perfect 5-0 at home. They enter this week on a 3-game losing streak but will receive a needed lift with the return of starting quarterback Kelly Bryant from a hamstring injury. Although the Tigers offense has been inconsistent, the same can’t be said for its defense. Missouri has allowed just 19.1 points and 287.8 yards per game this season. It won’t be easy against #11 Florida, but the Missouri defense will make enough stops, and Bryant will make enough plays to keep this game close throughout. Bet on Missouri plus the points for a 5* wager.

Stanford @ Washington State 4:30 PM ET

Game# 403-404

Play On: Washington State -10.0 (10*)

Washington State enters this week on a 2-game losing streak. Those losses dropped their season record to 4-5 (.444). This sets up a straightforward and extremely profitable college football betting angle which is displayed below.

Any college football favorite of 10.0 to 20.5 that owns a win percentage of .400 to .490, and they’re coming off losses during each of their previous 2 games, resulted in those favorites going 35-5 ATS (87.5%) since 2009. Bet on Washington State minus the points for a 10* Top Play wager.