Fresh off an outright underdog winner in the NBA yesterday. Monday we start our postseason with a Best Bet in the NIT. Two teams match up very well in what they are trying to accomplish, which means points a plenty.
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802 Gardner Webb & Virginia
Because Virginia hasn't fared as well as expected in the Big Dance we are getting nice value on the far superior team. The country as a whole knows the Cavaliers are the only #1 seed to ever lose to a #16 seed. Therefore small sample sizes and recentcy bias help us with the number here.
Gardner Webb allows opponents to take 45% of its shots from long range, and Virginia makes 40.9% of its shots from beyond the 3 point line. The underdog does attempt 43% of its shots at the rim, Virginia only allows teams to take 31.8% of its shots from close range. Virginia has a huge advantage in rebounding in this game. So fewer shots overall and less shots specifically for the underdog.
PLAY VIRGINIA
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
| Match Up | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loyola-Chicago vs Creighton | OVER 136 -108 | Premium | 61-70 | Loss | -108 | Show |
