Will Rogers

At 1:00pm ET, my NFC East GOM is on Washington. Home-field advantage will prove to be important to the final outcome of this contest. The Giants earned an upset here last season but Washington had a 404 to 292 advantage in total offense. Neither team can be happy after Week 1, with Washington falling 37-20 at Tampa Bay, and the Giants stumbling 28-6 at home to Minnesota. Daniel Jones signed a massive off-season contract and was downright terrible. I just can't see this Giants' offense keeping pace with the Commanders. Jones had 186 yards passing, zero TD's and two INT's and the Giants' run game only produced a paltry 74 yards. New York's defense also looked poor in allowing the 28 points at home. Jayden Daniels only threw for 186 yards. He didn't have any interceptions though and completed 17 of 24 passes. Much better than Jones, in my opinion. The Washington run game was solid with 130 yards on the ground. The Giants are just 1-7 their last 8 road games, the win here was their only victory. It's not happening again. Washington wins its home opener!

At 1:00pm ET, my Sunday Super Blitz is on Carolina. The Chargers may look easy at first glance but I'm going to recommend caution. In fact, I feel that they're getting too much respect from the oddsmakers in their first road game of the season. Jim Harbaugh got his first win as head coach of the Chargers in last week's 22-10 home victory over the Raiders. He's not going to work miracles immediately though and now he hits the road for two straight, before a home game with the Chiefs. The Chargers are a different team than they were last year, but it's still significant to note that they were just 3-5 SU on the road last season. Carolina fell 47-10 at New Orleans as a 3.5-point dog, but I expect Bryce Young to be a lot sharper here in Week 2 at home. Last year, in Week 1, the Giants got blown out 40-0. Everyone was really down on them but they came back and won outright in Week 2. The Steelers were another team which was blown out in Week 1 and won outright in Week 2. As for the Panthers, they lost by 14 in Week 1 and were far more competitive in a 3-point Week 2 loss. The morale of the story is not to over-react to a Week 1 blowout loss. Carolina will be better and will get us at least the cover on Sunday afternoon.

At 8:20 ET, my #1 Total Of The Month is on Chicago/Houston Under. Both teams enter at 1-0. Chicago is off a 24-17 win over Tennessee, while Houston posted the 29-27 road win at division rival Houston. Both scores could have been lower. The Houston score was only 15-13 into the 4th quarter. Twenty-eight points were scored in the final 14 minutes. Chicago's defense led the charge in its Week 1 victory, with TJ Edwards posting a team-high 15 total tackles. The Bears allowed just 244 total yards. The Chicago offense was even worse though. As a matter of fact, the Bears managed only 148 total yards and just 11 first downs. So, their 24 points scored was misleading. They will try and take pressure off their young QB with a more effective ground game this week. CJ Stroud had 234 passing yards and two TD's in Houston's Week 1 win. But it was RB Joe Mixon who carried the offensive load with 159 rushing yards and a TD. With each team looking to establish the run while on offense, look for the time to keep ticking and the combined final score to stay under.